NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe162aec8cfca10f9d78866ff7c0e73967051951824bcfbd993af579d31913bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 8,950$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.14 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 7,050$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.87 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.95 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.96 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 36c | 2,003$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.18 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.47 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 1,827$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 1,787$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 11c | 1,666$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 51c | 1,538$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.79 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 50c | 1,283$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.43 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 47c | 1,237$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.07 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 1,190$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.11 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 1,166$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.83 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 39c | 1,112$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.88 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 1,092$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.25 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,022$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.28 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 34c | 882.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 33c | 846.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.13 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 49c | 829.65$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.53 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 5c | 669.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Over | 52c | 649.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 629.3$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 30c | 612.87$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 49c | 612.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.09 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 596.44$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 69c | 581.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Over | 66c | 500$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 471.15$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.15 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 4c | 444.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 424.22$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Over | 51c | 406.76$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.16 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 52c | 401.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.86 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…6c57backed Over | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Over | 53c | 366$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Over | 58c | 362.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…23e1backed Under | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 36c | 293.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 286.27$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 286.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 61c | 248.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…4145backed Under | 5c | 242.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 60c | 225.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…3bcdbacked Over | 52c | 222.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 52c | 206.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 49c | 200.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Over | 52c | 200.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 52c | 192.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Over | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 52c | 192.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 17c | 190.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 7c | 183$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 7c | 183$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…ef54backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 68c | 175$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 153$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 51c | 143.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 131.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 35c | 129.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 52c | 127.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Under | 43c | 126.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 30c | 119.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Over | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 49c | 109.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 30c | 103.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Under | 50c | 100.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked Over | 70c | 100.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Over | 52c | 96.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 94.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Over | 51c | 88.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 51c | 87.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 81.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 52c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 249 | 48.2%120 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 67c | 77.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Under | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Over | 52c | 71.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.