TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a64…3c0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+234.8%+$2,649.83
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$924.65
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,788.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.36
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+54%+$755.35
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.73
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$484.23
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$310.38
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.11
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$461.02
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054.23
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$235.63
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.83
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.89
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+111%+$554.96
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$230.77
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$8,367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+482.1%+$40,334.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428.62
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.16
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,158.54
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$586.67
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$320.34
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$188.99
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$535.38
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.91
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,360.75
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+154%+$743.91
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$509.09
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$647.62
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$393.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,454.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,527.81
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$950
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$367.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+401.3%+$2,667.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$367
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.24
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$469.23
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$430.47
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$153.53
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.73
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.