NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd5892a5d4fbefa1dfaf9340101c4e4bc752202edc74a923eac78fc0c3a0f8c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 51c | 14,343$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,968.52 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 48c | 5,978$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.95 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 49c | 3,865$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 2,506$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.82 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Yes | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 50c | 980$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.51 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes | 50c | 962.66$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.23 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 48c | 933.27$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.77 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 50c | 534.15$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.04 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 49c | 491.85$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.87 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 49c | 466$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.34 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked No | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Yes | 51c | 362.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 52c | 312.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668c…c966backed Yes | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 51c | 287.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked No | 49c | 282$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 49c | 278.71$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 50c | 246.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…666abacked Yes | 54c | 140.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 49c | 134.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed No | 49c | 116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cb…9c2abacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…0827backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…d67bbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes | 49c | 76.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 80c | 70.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972d…bf2cbacked Yes | 50c | 67.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 51c | 66.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 46c | 64.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 49c | 61.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 51c | 60.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 50c | 60.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Yes | 50c | 60.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…483ebacked Yes | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked No | 56c | 55.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 45c | 50.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 49c | 49.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…0b23backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +205.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…297bbacked No | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 49c | 46.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed No | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…ec12backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed No | 49c | 31.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 51c | 27.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 53c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 23.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 47c | 22.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…aa61backed No | 50c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817d…2527backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…42c3backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Yes | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.