TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c3,299$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under13c2,835$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.591,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under34c2,398$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.121,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Under12c2,220$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.436954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under17c1,575$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3118235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over78c1,441$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.222259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c1,335$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.012,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under11c1,162$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8776054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over63c1,065$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under32c1,017$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.081,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c1,008$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.082,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under14c765.77$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under12c649.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2811145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over74c539.85$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+62.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under13c522.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c500$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.121,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c421.84$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under13c373.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over80c324.8$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over77c311.44$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7227463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8165762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under28c287$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.361,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Over54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under15c167.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under46c151.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under42c145.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over53c109.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b35…70d9backed Under12c106.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c102.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.642,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under12c90.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8229243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over56c81.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.721953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under44c73.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5515044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Under40c65.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4910146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.233537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over56c59.07$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.316429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over60c54.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5615648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over63c52.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3415663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over53c48.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.024961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under33c46.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3737652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over57c40.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under34c37.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.019956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over53c30.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.644161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over53c30.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.394158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over56c28.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.754161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over56c28.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.754360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.