TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c5,289$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.6893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Over78c3,817$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.865330.2%16 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c2,321$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.991,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over8c1,850$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.231222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under32c1,705$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.7518235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c1,678$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under23c1,576$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.291,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c1,514$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.8955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Over78c1,430$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1116048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over71c1,345$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.591973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under48c1,286$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.331,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under23c1,133$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.43964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Under23c1,089$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.943951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over49c1,042$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.761,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.2666046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under40c993.81$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over78c936.25$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.3325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over52c872.46$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.545844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under21c871.15$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6851,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under32c848.03$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.852,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Over77c793.8$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.2315744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…5d22backed Under55c730.6$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over47c655.27$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under22c639.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.1829243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Over79c629.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under22c595.96$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under25c592$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44415644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe88f…34cebacked Over70c573.49$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over59c565.65$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over55c549.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under42c536.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under55c516.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c479.01$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under44c428.19$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over48c415.23$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9218557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under49c415$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec5…4168backed Over73c411.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under20c409.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9211145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff26…a5ddbacked Under24c400.12$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+173.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under48c384.46$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under45c343.78$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.429956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over48c313.42$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0636051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512c…58b3backed Over51c306.7$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7260%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Under18c250$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205969.4%9 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under22c240$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under45c236.57$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.661,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under43c217.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over47c209.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6425150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under49c205.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1715044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd64e…4fb2backed Over79c204.74$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.75540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over46c200.1$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c194.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Over53c188.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over51c187.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3827245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c181.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0211354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c175.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Under51c169.74$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.082832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c163.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under22c159.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.471,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over49c158.73$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under33c147.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over79c147.46$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Under68c147.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.181060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under21c128.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.811,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under25c121$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9129665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under42c116.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.366141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd13…94e5backed Over79c110.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under45c108.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8420946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under55c106.17$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8820247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Under55c105.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.68875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+104.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over47c101$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.971717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8740…6facbacked Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under21c93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4710548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under41c89.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.771,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Under36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.339151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Under34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.042441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c53…8c78backed Under55c78.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under21c73.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0129449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8378…0090backed Over69c72.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502181%17 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over79c70.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8926755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under22c70.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8519959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under28c68.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under54c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over63c63.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c60.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c59.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c50.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.693,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f18…9cdbbacked Under29c49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over46c48.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ceb…40b0backed Over77c42.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.861060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc982…c998backed Over76c42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under73c41.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.17875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under28c41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5217237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c40.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa144…fc6cbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under30c36.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.574736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.