TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$488,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under50c98,805$49,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,672.0625248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over50c57,362$28,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,723.447650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under45c47,542$21,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,148.371,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c46,216$24,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,478.7564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over52c20,855$10,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,844.7620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over52c20,366$10,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,634.9185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c19,071$9,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,602.8255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over55c18,082$9,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,945.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.9718651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Over10c12,326$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.576141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c9,794$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,184.0269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under48c9,635$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.3648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over23c9,100$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.441,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb359…edffbacked Under47c8,023$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under48c7,777$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.0266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over52c6,857$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.6286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over51c5,851$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.418444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over51c5,084$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.972166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c4,661$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.2584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Under48c4,486$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.834042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ff…5cdfbacked Over55c3,855$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over52c3,746$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.6865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c3,690$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.871,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Over5c3,292$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.612615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c3,096$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c2,956$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.252,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under48c2,257$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.7547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over52c2,200$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.1643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under48c2,171$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.923951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c1,876$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.921,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over53c1,871$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,599$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.491,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c1,337$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.4832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over53c1,327$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.4518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under48c1,247$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.0912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over22c1,129$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.541,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,080$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over52c1,067$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over17c1,041$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under48c1,037$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.3914640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over16c974.3$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8914953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c906.88$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c899.82$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c842.72$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c802.33$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.211,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over8c800$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x323b…28f3backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under48c768$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.9217247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over51c716.09$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5825651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over43c702.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over51c700$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.1123742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c697.34$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.541,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Over50c665.22$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.611275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+71.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaf…5dcfbacked Over28c571.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x940e…732ebacked Under48c512.81$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65c4…2e13backed Under49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.22653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2658451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over52c471.69$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.281070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b1…c9d5backed Over51c466.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over55c442.4$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3227745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over52c436.98$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7122053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over10c422.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under48c420$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under54c407.01$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4518235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over50c357$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.57452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over13c325$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over11c272$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9216429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over19c260.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.423,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c258$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7410941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Over15c234$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.13946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x636a…45c6backed Over51c229.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under48c203$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.563562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over50c184.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over9c183$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4717237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over22c180.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.137652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over55c154.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.210843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over50c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.53063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.