NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380a0c4ce999b162f0b5d1091c8909c66fb1902f61bf71b730583b44a7943a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 30c | 8,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 45c | 2,848$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.52 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 66c | 2,178$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 69c | 2,121$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.66 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 36c | 2,087$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.98 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 70c | 1,637$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.1 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Knicks | 69c | 1,300$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.32 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Knicks | 59c | 981.15$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.83 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 73c | 837.85$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 74c | 823.84$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Spurs | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Knicks | 74c | 645.13$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 62c | 582.93$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.01 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Knicks | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 39c | 486.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs | 39c | 413.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Knicks | 74c | 385.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Spurs | 27c | 284.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 27c | 269.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs | 34c | 244.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 72c | 242.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 71c | 197.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Spurs | 8c | 193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Knicks | 74c | 180.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 27c | 178.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Spurs | 28c | 144.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Knicks | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Knicks | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…c288backed Knicks | 74c | 114.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Knicks | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 26c | 96.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Knicks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks | 77c | 90.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Spurs | 34c | 84.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 66c | 84.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Knicks | 69c | 83.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Knicks | 74c | 67.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f270backed Knicks | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Knicks | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Knicks | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Knicks | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs | 26c | 58.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Knicks | 66c | 58.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Spurs | 45c | 56.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 61c | 44.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs | 34c | 41.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…4128backed Spurs | 27c | 41.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Knicks | 73c | 40.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks | 66c | 38.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Knicks | 68c | 35.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Spurs | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Spurs | 36c | 29.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Knicks | 66c | 27.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks | 68c | 26.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks | 55c | 25.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Knicks | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Knicks | 66c | 22.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed Knicks | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Knicks | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Knicks | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Knicks | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.