TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No50c1,969$985 inLost-$984.599348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Yes50c1,020$510 inWon+$5107751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No47c999.19$474 inLost-$474.3133049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes53c560$297 inWon+$262.92166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe444…fa95backed Yes52c469.19$244 inWon+$225.212356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Yes50c394$197 inWon+$1976943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked Yes50c300.4$150 inWon+$150.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed No50c200$100 inLost-$1005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes50c200$100 inWon+$10040053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked No56c178.93$100 inLost-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Yes44c158.93$70 inWon+$891,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed No51c100$51 inLost-$516238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes49c100$49 inWon+$5111852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked No52c94.73$49 inLost-$49.262050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes48c80$38 inWon+$41.615351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes49c77.62$38 inWon+$39.319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Yes50c60.4$30 inWon+$30.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Yes50c60$30 inWon+$303754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes48c40$19 inWon+$20.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf882…1308backed Yes50c40$20 inWon+$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x485c…c6b3backed No51c39.22$20 inLost-$204757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed No59c30$18 inLost-$17.730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes50c30$15 inWon+$1527539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed No52c28.85$15 inLost-$153655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes51c28.82$15 inWon+$14.127437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No49c24.64$12 inLost-$12.0133356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No49c21.46$11 inLost-$10.5133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed No50c20$10 inLost-$1031748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed No51c20$10 inLost-$10.24647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…162dbacked Yes51c20$10 inWon+$9.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Yes50c20$10 inWon+$1012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.