TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c6,208$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c2,682$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under54c2,611$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2016152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c2,431$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.1755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under16c1,900$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.9479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under27c1,526$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.1818235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under51c1,508$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.361,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Over36c1,351$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.326141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c1,098$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over51c944$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.445937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under22c924.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under47c756$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.51,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c721$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Over79c631.09$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.565330.2%16 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under48c611.4$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under19c602.49$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1925954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under20c550.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4529243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c500.1$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.291,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under21c499.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over51c422.93$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3925045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over19c400.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over51c343.78$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.039956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under21c319.18$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under20c307.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2411145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under19c249.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.061,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under21c215.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under54c213$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over51c200.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over79c199.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.972744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over46c165.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de1…8f45backed Over50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under16c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3226755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…99eebacked Over80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over46c93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b02…d9d5backed Under22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c90.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Under56c89.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.686139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Over80c87.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over60c86.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over69c84.05$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over51c83.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4112150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under20c72.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over68c66.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0333030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over31c61.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over53c58.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8315044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c55.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over67c47.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2115648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305251.9%27 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over59c44.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over79c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.414446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over52c38.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under35c38.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.073735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over80c31.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under51c29.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6537652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over49c28.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0930616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over54c26.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1116867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x557a…9b21backed Over43c25.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Under52c24.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.855839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over75c24.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c23.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over78c20.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.014961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a0…2916backed Over80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under53c19.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1714264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over76c13.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.524158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over78c12.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.014161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over78c12.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.014161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over78c12.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.014360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe470…4187backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.