TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,894 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes42c8,590$3,611 inLost-$3,61120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed No58c2,919$1,692 inWon+$1,226.893964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No57c1,982$1,130 inWon+$852.4695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No59c1,950$1,151 inWon+$799.6236954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No57c1,000$568 inWon+$43265762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No56c619.38$345 inWon+$274.6433049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No57c445.79$254 inWon+$192.218235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes44c230$101 inLost-$100.99950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes44c200$88 inLost-$8819951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No61c171.84$105 inWon+$67.021,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No47c153.27$72 inWon+$81.1230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No59c144.5$85 inWon+$59.6485449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No56c127.24$71 inWon+$55.9942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No55c126$69 inWon+$5745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Yes43c115$50 inLost-$507562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Yes61c88$54 inLost-$53.685759.6%34 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes58c86.64$50 inLost-$504647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21c…3fd3backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-63.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes43c69.77$30 inLost-$305042%21 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Yes38c65.79$25 inLost-$252152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No42c61.64$26 inWon+$35.7579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5daf…7d98backed Yes61c49.18$30 inLost-$304757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ab…e652backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost-$204235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf49…50d6backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost-$20875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No55c44$24 inWon+$2076054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No61c38$23 inWon+$14.8224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes39c32.99$13 inLost-$12.8719959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes39c30$12 inLost-$11.713764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed No49c30$15 inWon+$15.311555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes70c29$20 inLost-$20.320558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes42c26.58$11 inLost-$11.247437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes69c25$17 inLost-$17.31861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No60c20$12 inWon+$814953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.