TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c12,381$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,881.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c5,532$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.4169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over43c4,670$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over61c1,642$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under53c1,137$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.526141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c1,087$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.8984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under64c896.03$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.591,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under37c869.22$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.2266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over28c851$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.42,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Over61c804.19$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.511070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Over37c711.7$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.335944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…32e8backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under38c443.4$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4921147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under57c431$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.361,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under39c377.78$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4518235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c351$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.51,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over62c328.76$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under39c299.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18310747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over38c255$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c166.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.631,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under39c154.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c135.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under55c111$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7717237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c102.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.811,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under40c102.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.56344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ead…52adbacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8740…6facbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4837665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over41c95.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1512150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Over63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c90.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.171,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over32c85.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under50c82.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over63c78.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over18c66.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9215648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over63c57.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1726755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under51c56.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over25c56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under68c55.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8431953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under40c48.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0610757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Over64c40.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4728455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under51c38.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa301…d19cbacked Over61c37.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under36c35.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under71c35.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.314577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under64c34.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.389157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over37c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over44c32.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3814264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over36c32.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over61c31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Over65c30.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9919555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fac…011ebacked Over50c30.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under64c30.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8616659.6%99 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.354549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over59c28.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.877437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under37c26.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8433356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc76a…c7b1backed Over59c25.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under69c25.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8515662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under64c24.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7314464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Under69c21.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.632334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.