TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs35c32,739$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3695…c66cbacked Knicks70c14,162$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Knicks64c9,077$5,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c8,000$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.7828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs30c7,270$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.9411333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs47c6,194$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.6769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks58c5,819$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks67c5,700$3,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.0764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs40c5,675$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.1318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs45c5,030$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.671,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks64c3,719$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.7942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7151,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks52c3,055$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.1655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks65c2,619$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks66c2,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks68c1,601$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks66c1,580$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks68c1,535$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.4625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Knicks60c1,501$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.333545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs45c1,232$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks51c1,218$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.775349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs33c1,200$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40218643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs41c1,116$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.7152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs39c1,109$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.8818235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs33c1,027$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.763948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs38c1,001$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.831,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…1e15backed Spurs32c928.13$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks67c699.98$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.668355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Spurs8c636.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks60c612$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.81,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Knicks64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks65c590.32$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Knicks60c525.7$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.283756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…2453backed Spurs39c507.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.161526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs54c500$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks67c482.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks63c468.74$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs31c459.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Knicks69c449$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1921147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Spurs53c447.87$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2392650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Knicks68c441.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.291656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Knicks69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7813757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Spurs51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks73c396.76$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Knicks55c342.89$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.454955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Knicks68c338.24$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks56c308$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks71c292.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs34c244.32$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.381,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks63c228.11$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks67c225$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.259956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs31c215.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8425554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Spurs33c204.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.27458.1%43 W · 31 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c2d…646bbacked Knicks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Knicks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Knicks67c186.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.577562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks63c184.27$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1818557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs45c173.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.541,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks49c165.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.263,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks61c162$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks67c131.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.191,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.215044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Spurs33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.69438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798c…e64cbacked Spurs49c111.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks63c111.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Spurs35c103.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Knicks69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.456259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Knicks70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3034169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Spurs32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b8…97e4backed Spurs33c89.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks63c78.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs32c78.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Knicks67c74.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.312544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs33c73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Knicks52c72.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.638048.8%39 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs31c70.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30c…a7a7backed Knicks50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbba8…854bbacked Knicks50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Knicks51c69.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Spurs32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.626755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Spurs31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Knicks65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.259271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.425954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Spurs52c57.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Spurs31c53.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Knicks67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.56150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0afb…9a96backed Knicks49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51877.8%14 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+74.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks67c47.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6530842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Spurs33c46.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c78…e701backed Spurs36c45.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.682955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd83…9798backed Knicks67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks61c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7727245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…99febacked Knicks69c41.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Spurs32c41.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320346.3%94 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.