TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Under44c2,706$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.4318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c1,937$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.3964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under65c1,722$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.671,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c1,648$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.5269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over6c1,301$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ff…593dbacked Over54c1,271$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c1,157$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under60c1,113$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over29c1,069$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008138.3%31 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over34c824.27$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.251,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over76c654.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over45c627$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over48c624.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under25c518.88$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.81,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under52c517.71$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c411.92$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over77c388.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x512c…58b3backed Over55c358.49$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1760%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under23c339.65$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0411145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Under51c309.95$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.877652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Over38c274.64$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.362615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c238$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over47c237.64$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Under47c195.94$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.012832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over50c175.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c167.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over73c136.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over38c126.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3725045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under24c108.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x75ce…0fbcbacked Over56c108.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over49c100.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4929458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c98.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over33c88.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6212055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over48c73.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1217237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over74c67.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.875952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under27c55.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2837253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over50c48.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8616369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x668c…c966backed Over73c47.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under47c43.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1815044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over49c36.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9817848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over34c34.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7710152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4682…1b94backed Over77c33.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over74c33.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a96…abb4backed Over62c32.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under43c29.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over49c27.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3715648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over51c25.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1421953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over41c24.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1230616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2ca…870dbacked Over47c23.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over59c22.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2831953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over48c21.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ab…675ebacked Over74c21.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Over76c18.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9319555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.