NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97407493725399db1391623494e11bb996b15fb776fd6541906e865c60372071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 3,562$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.68 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 50c | 3,552$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.86 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,949$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 51c | 1,879$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.28 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 54c | 1,800$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.99 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 1,346$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.67 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 47c | 1,099$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.92 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c79cbacked Over | 80c | 1,010$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 51c | 844$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.44 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 569.98$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.86 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 471.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 379.47$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 70c | 336.96$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 22c | 331.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 55c | 299.12$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 217.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 211.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 52c | 205.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…12e3backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 51c | 177.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 55c | 164$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 19c | 136.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 123.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Under | 44c | 105.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Over | 51c | 101.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cd…4249backed Over | 40c | 100.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 49c | 95.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 51c | 72.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…55bcbacked Under | 19c | 70.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Under | 51c | 60.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 48c | 60.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 32c | 52.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Over | 29c | 46.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…870dbacked Over | 63c | 44.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 39c | 42.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…e64cbacked Over | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Under | 51c | 37.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Under | 51c | 37.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 51c | 37.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 54c | 36.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 51c | 35.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…3484backed Under | 75c | 33.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Under | 51c | 32.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 46c | 31.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 57c | 27.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…2e6bbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 48c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…f109backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 18.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.