NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e05641ceacca5574d9225e1f893a3de6c43d1f1561db0e895b18e8b915c4ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 23c | 27,770$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Knicks | 76c | 16,810$12,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 80c | 7,001$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.77 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 21c | 1,325$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Knicks | 79c | 1,222$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…cc6abacked Spurs | 34c | 1,138$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 76c | 1,032$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.69 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Spurs | 4c | 924$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 76c | 875.54$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs | 20c | 825.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Knicks | 77c | 740.92$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 77c | 708.1$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.34 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 21c | 550.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks | 78c | 467.04$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 77c | 459$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 74c | 393.48$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Knicks | 78c | 345.35$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Knicks | 77c | 298.03$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Knicks | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 72c | 208$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Knicks | 76c | 189.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks | 72c | 184.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks | 72c | 184.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Knicks | 66c | 170.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 17c | 152.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs | 17c | 144$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 20c | 128.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Knicks | 80c | 120.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Spurs | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 21c | 110.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks | 78c | 101.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Knicks | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks | 75c | 66.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Spurs | 22c | 65.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…292dbacked Knicks | 77c | 59.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 76c | 55.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Knicks | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Knicks | 74c | 42.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc8…5cb5backed Knicks | 73c | 25.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Knicks | 71c | 22.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Knicks | 73c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Knicks | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks | 74c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.