NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63248e58aee35ae7ea05a82450d269d114991b233527f40ebe93f74274d317b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 26c | 9,637$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 77c | 2,134$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.92 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 73c | 2,050$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.14 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Knicks | 72c | 1,300$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 26c | 1,248$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.25 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks | 61c | 1,072$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Knicks | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Knicks | 65c | 982$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.3 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 76c | 722.65$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs | 35c | 712.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 78c | 620.48$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.52 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c0…51ffbacked Knicks | 61c | 566.07$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 75c | 539.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Knicks | 76c | 527$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…0e3dbacked Spurs | 9c | 513.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 69c | 458$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Spurs | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 28c | 421.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Spurs | 27c | 405.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks | 66c | 365$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Knicks | 79c | 280.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks | 79c | 266.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6003…ce41backed Knicks | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b2…8c41backed Knicks | 79c | 230.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Spurs | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 75c | 219.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks | 79c | 213$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Spurs | 6c | 169$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs | 34c | 157$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 74c | 121.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks | 71c | 119.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Spurs | 23c | 101.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Knicks | 71c | 99.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Spurs | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks | 72c | 82.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Knicks | 70c | 81.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Spurs | 36c | 55.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks | 77c | 44.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Knicks | 72c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks | 70c | 31.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks | 72c | 23.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Knicks | 71c | 23.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Knicks | 71c | 22.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Knicks | 71c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks | 70c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 73c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Knicks | 70c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.