TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under57c36,005$20,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,598.7448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over46c34,322$15,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,788.085940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over43c23,104$10,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,007.4355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under53c10,883$5,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c9,965$5,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,783.161,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over43c8,467$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.6715644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40eb…d455backed Under54c7,817$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Over47c7,699$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.612560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under56c5,555$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over43c5,346$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.5220155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Under57c5,164$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c4,877$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.1252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc87c…afd7backed Under54c4,778$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Under54c4,531$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.122050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c4,262$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over46c3,715$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.9123742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c3,658$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.7164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c3,540$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.2532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under57c3,407$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.8284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over45c3,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over46c2,952$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.919959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c2,707$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c1,944$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.242,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.795453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over44c1,886$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.8418444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Under57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over43c1,029$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.9478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c936$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.481,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under56c899.69$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3312146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under56c824$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over43c714.28$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.145435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c639$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.331,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Over3c572.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.544738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over43c508.7$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.743935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under54c430.37$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over16c413.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Over44c386.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14117740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over48c298.77$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4118235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Under54c287.04$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.048744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over45c280.1$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c252.84$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.341,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Over44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over47c234.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over44c226.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.883647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under57c197.63$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.473339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c197.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.161,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f6…25b6backed Over47c191.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Over44c177$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8810545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c164.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5526…9318backed Under54c152.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.211275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under53c150.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Under57c149.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.126639.4%26 W · 40 L-11.8wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x691f…77a2backed Under54c145.96$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.145100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cef…3cd4backed Over47c143.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5438…234bbacked Over47c139.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f1…3863backed Over47c138.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…a2acbacked Under54c138.52$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…a590backed Over47c132.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Under54c131.26$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.384252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4e…f997backed Over47c128.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3199…2edabacked Over47c127.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.881631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa272…3f31backed Under54c125.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x614e…f00fbacked Under54c125.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.225954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over43c113$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5934850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…bd11backed Under54c112.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e0…207abacked Over47c111.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2b1bbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6c8…2b27backed Under54c106.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2246346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4348957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over43c98.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c97.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+97.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8460346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over48c52.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2640548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6426755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c46.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a6…370abacked Under54c44.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceba…a705backed Over47c40.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over47c39.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6120154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over44c33.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.877437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c30.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over44c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3239552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.