TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$696,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$700,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa25c…6430backed Over18c200,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,999.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c105,476$52,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,246.1164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under52c95,563$49,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,025.6714538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c59,963$29,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,981.2732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under51c40,154$20,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,675.4514842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under78c29,738$23,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,476.2656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c29,051$11,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,418.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Under52c25,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00010949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over48c21,513$10,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,326.247650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over49c20,087$9,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,809.722166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Over50c20,051$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.9818651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over48c12,373$5,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,938.8510146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c10,917$5,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,423.484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c8,805$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.5925352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under51c8,627$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,227.454042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over21c8,101$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.371,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c7,777$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.7366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over49c7,641$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7442653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed Over49c7,477$3,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over42c6,141$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.2811034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c5,076$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.0720155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c5,037$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Under51c4,751$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.0211447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c4,706$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.9821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c4,135$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.6755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9603100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over42c3,066$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2803729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1813750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under79c2,913$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.131,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,908$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.066,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c2,825$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.781,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over50c2,816$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c2,686$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.252,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under51c2,409$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.4543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under50c2,336$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.5112146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under51c2,271$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.723742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under51c2,233$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c2,201$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.4790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c2,201$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.4763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c2,183$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…5dcfbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0291850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over49c2,014$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.958450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under51c1,879$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over53c1,877$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over49c1,855$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.1513161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86432957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over51c1,602$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.3819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,311$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65014731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c1,202$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6252857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58868944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under47c1,143$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.841,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over50c1,072$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.9411145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over49c1,033$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2114443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under46c1,013$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.9733945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48012536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Over48c963.46$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over6c960$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Over49c901.67$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.822850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Under46c867.95$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.72846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over55c805.32$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over38c659.52$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over36c633.11$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.637146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under51c624.43$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over40c617$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under58c605$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.922272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc57…4148backed Over53c556.46$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c531.92$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.731,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over49c507.61$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.733935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067d…1ceebacked Under52c491.25$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.251450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over53c450.97$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1612451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5f…7854backed Under52c426.92$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.921450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…c9d5backed Over49c418.39$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over15c414.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Over48c398.73$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.391457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.