TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,031 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x228b…af4cbacked Under67c3,095$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.441,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c1,749$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.1484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under34c1,598$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.447532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over22c866.98$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c841.53$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.061,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under32c838.94$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.6471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over67c747.02$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over69c729.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under30c702.86$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.4966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under31c697.97$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9918235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over7c653.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over69c605$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4520352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under31c600$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over68c589.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under33c555.78$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under34c541.62$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4715644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9556…526dbacked Over72c535.39$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under32c451.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.911,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…1e15backed Under35c417.86$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.61933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Over69c403.25$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c369.64$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over70c359.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over56c359.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over31c339.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.042,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Over70c323.59$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.515846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8982…af89backed Over23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cac…67c4backed Under71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under29c272.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4725954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under32c266.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under33c253$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.366,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c232.25$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over66c227.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0218653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under72c221.28$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.282080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdddd…6777backed Over69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over28c205$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.419548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Over71c156.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Over66c152$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.325072%36 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under32c145.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0229243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under44c144.25$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under31c135.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8111145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c129.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Over54c121.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.687549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1226755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae10…16c4backed Over44c119.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.394431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…78c6backed Over50c113.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c112.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over36c91.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ead…52adbacked Over67c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over67c74.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dee…9f2cbacked Over67c74.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8606…28aebacked Over31c65.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under50c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.615044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under67c63.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7615663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c57.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.831,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over26c53.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c52.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c49.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305251.9%27 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over68c37.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.795952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over67c36.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.740548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8229…64e6backed Over69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under30c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf0…2b6dbacked Under32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+147.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over33c30.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.154549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bca…f109backed Over69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.76056.7%34 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c27.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…e3d4backed Under73c26.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031540%6 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over68c24.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7396956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under67c22.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…421ebacked Over66c21.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.218543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48f…2327backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Under67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.214446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Under68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c2c…3dc9backed Under57c19.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.591560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7f…d490backed Over68c18.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over67c16.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2914347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Over68c16.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over67c15.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.657062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6526957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under75c14.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.564577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.