TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c4,343$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.7464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over54c3,690$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under43c3,643$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.521,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c2,723$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,639$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.251,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,613$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under45c1,600$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.5912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under76c1,460$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.191,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Over55c1,400$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7702171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.0618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under45c999.98$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c902.25$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c686$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.581,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Over55c654.64$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+71.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under50c642.06$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c585$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c570.24$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.381,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over24c529.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.161,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under45c511.08$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5417247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x512c…58b3backed Over57c475.93$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2360%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over14c450.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8231222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under46c336.6$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over56c299.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.998155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Over47c296.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Over54c278.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over55c267.91$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.354146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c267.78$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under45c222.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3210941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Over14c208.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.322030%6 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c207.92$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Over55c196.45$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c187.85$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.551,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7b…21c4backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over20c184.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2318235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over55c183.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10113037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4bd…d39ebacked Over58c177.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under45c170.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.418653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Under43c156.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c149.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.531,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under45c134.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4317848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5637037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Over55c99.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Under58c89.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.665253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under59c87.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over42c81.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over54c81.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.858754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under46c79.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.788354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c75.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under71c70.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.632080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3325954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1346346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…bac6backed Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Over54c45.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.479260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x636a…45c6backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd662…aeb5backed Over55c34.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.242576%19 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over50c28.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3854549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over55c27.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.087437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over55c26.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.595133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…c9a6backed Over55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over56c19.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7510545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c18.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98c1…ccf9backed Over55c18.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.