TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55da…74ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9250%46 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$17.11
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.78
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$62.86
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$18.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$72.75
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$58.02
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$46.26
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+60%+$18
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$40.06
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$72.24
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$13.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$50.71
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$25.86
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$16.88
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$18.3
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$13.99
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$22.47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$35.72
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$42.69
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$50.25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$20.41
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+183.1%+$128.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$68.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$22.39
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$16.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.