TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x776f…7159backed Under34c4,598$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over71c4,229$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.7924159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under32c2,058$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.11,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under31c1,986$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.4995651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3b…07f7backed Over69c1,915$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.693850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under27c1,866$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under28c1,481$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.581,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c1,370$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over74c1,358$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under32c1,301$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.186445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under31c1,185$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.4821549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Over70c1,073$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.574854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over69c1,017$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0952461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over78c1,008$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.842259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under24c1,008$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.841,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over79c646.86$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f0b…6eefbacked Under21c641.29$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over68c566.48$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5610861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under32c546.74$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1129243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0382…7aafbacked Over72c483.14$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.281560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6713757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under30c372.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1113747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.656956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2710…06f9backed Over70c322.47$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under32c299.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9911437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over68c296.15$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.773951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1211239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under22c247.77$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2621046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over65c242.14$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under32c187.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0420247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under32c180.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c150.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.081,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9043…af14backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7b…9825backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb65b…8452backed Over70c140.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.131838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under29c129.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce12…0252backed Over69c129.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.151060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under20c114.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under31c100.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3214446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under31c99.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.996549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75be…3bbabacked Over69c94.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.846346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over69c75.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4212254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Over69c72.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.213754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c33…9ac6backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4311352.2%59 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce98…fbb1backed Under30c64.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb84…0ac8backed Over70c62.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9977…ddb5backed Over68c60.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over69c57.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9640548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0081…dc8bbacked Over68c56.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.212352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1c…aa0abacked Over72c55.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Over72c50.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9510347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under31c49.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.355444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf713…fdebbacked Under29c48.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.992060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c41.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.061,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over69c41.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1853…888fbacked Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0710…06bebacked Over79c37.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.86475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under32c32.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4257657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over69c31.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.737451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0855…32debacked Under33c31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7843…fd3cbacked Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bca…f109backed Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36056.7%34 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dee…9f2cbacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8baa…0032backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9951946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2075…e419backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e95…c044backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c28.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3199…2edabacked Over68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1301…2cf7backed Over69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Over67c20.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48f…2327backed Over69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Over61c19.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.725058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Over68c18.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9810558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad5…12d9backed Over68c17.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.655768.4%39 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf45f…dbfdbacked Over68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.