NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ba42719657e1f59c0baaf999226a40ae834ddef6b96e4ea5b7c4ce7e318ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Thunder | 72c | 15,023$10,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.97 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Thunder | 73c | 10,997$7,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.11 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 28c | 10,596$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 73c | 9,425$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.63 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 51c | 8,000$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.44 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Thunder | 66c | 7,537$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.48 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Thunder | 63c | 7,434$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 72c | 6,738$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.02 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spurs | 31c | 5,208$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.15 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 30c | 5,018$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Spurs | 27c | 4,139$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.57 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Thunder | 72c | 3,748$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.96 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 26c | 3,506$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.03 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 48c | 2,877$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.95 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Spurs | 44c | 2,652$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.1 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 61c | 2,612$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 32c | 2,539$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.96 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 31c | 2,392$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.07 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.9 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…77f3backed Thunder | 50c | 1,980$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.39 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…2065backed Thunder | 52c | 1,909$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 25c | 1,699$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.61 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Thunder | 54c | 1,400$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 35c | 1,386$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.38 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 36c | 1,342$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.54 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Spurs | 38c | 1,290$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 42c | 1,280$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.72 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,262$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.09 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Spurs | 13c | 1,138$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Thunder | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 31c | 981$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.51 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Thunder | 68c | 955.88$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 934$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.66 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 33c | 882.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Thunder | 56c | 800$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Thunder | 73c | 723.92$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Thunder | 65c | 667.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 70c | 494.7$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 71c | 401.25$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Thunder | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs | 29c | 374.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 10c | 367.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Spurs | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Spurs | 13c | 349.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Thunder | 71c | 332.32$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs | 28c | 317.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Spurs | 24c | 297.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Spurs | 30c | 290.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Thunder | 64c | 285.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 71c | 261.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Spurs | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Thunder | 60c | 247.63$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Thunder | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Thunder | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Thunder | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 28c | 188.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Thunder | 71c | 179$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 50c | 173$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Thunder | 68c | 147.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…6563backed Thunder | 68c | 147.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Thunder | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Spurs | 29c | 142.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 29c | 139.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder | 69c | 136.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Spurs | 27c | 131.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 33c | 128$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Thunder | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Thunder | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 64c | 102.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Spurs | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Thunder | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…eeb6backed Thunder | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…ad72backed Thunder | 60c | 99.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Spurs | 30c | 93.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Spurs | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Thunder | 60c | 87.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Thunder | 59c | 84.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Spurs | 33c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Spurs | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Spurs | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 34c | 78.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…0ac8backed Spurs | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Spurs | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…ab71backed Thunder | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Spurs | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Spurs | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder | 73c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Spurs | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…57f4backed Spurs | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…7ababacked Thunder | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0595…4912backed Spurs | 29c | 57.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Thunder | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Spurs | 30c | 55.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.