NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb1f5b135cc80dd7e26922437f61143b9078d800af868c4c6c5ae4bd1b6eec5

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $201,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $206,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,538 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3751…7dfdbacked Under	0c	91,708$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.71	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	55c	16,598$9,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,426.48	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under	45c	11,183$5,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,033.6	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	45c	9,133$4,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,072.18	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	8,711$4,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,261.45	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…a222backed Over	51c	8,381$4,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,106.64	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	54c	5,525$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,525.21	241	59.8%144 W · 97 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over	64c	5,455$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,955.16	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Under	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.98	171	47.4%81 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.98	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	41c	2,869$1,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.53	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under	45c	2,248$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.66	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under	45c	2,196$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.16	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	63c	2,150$1,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over	53c	1,939$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.52	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+7.5wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	44c	1,824$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.56	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Under	1c	1,800$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	553	16.5%91 W · 462 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	44c	1,440$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.6	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	16c	1,178$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.48	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	45c	1,000$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.43	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under	47c	950$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.5	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+8.9wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	35c	884.74$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.63	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under	48c	879.59$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.19	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under	45c	808.58$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.86	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over	53c	800$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over	53c	784.91$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.91	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	36c	781$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.7	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	58c	778.87$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.13	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	55c	761.8$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.04	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Over	55c	727.27$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.27	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+96.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over	55c	727.27$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.27	337	49.3%166 W · 171 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over	54c	698.65$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.38	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	44c	684$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.23	320	45.3%145 W · 175 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over	55c	644$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.8	137	59.9%82 W · 55 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under	23c	582.63$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.67	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+85%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	26c	582.63$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.48	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under	44c	516.88$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.84	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	45c	481.55$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.07	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	45c	446$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.7	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Under	46c	411.39$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.24	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.22per pick	47cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	44c	399.97$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.7	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	45c	390.58$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.76	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	45c	366.58$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.66	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	228	44.7%102 W · 126 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	54c	355.8$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.72	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	41c	310.46$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.36	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under	40c	294.31$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.72	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over	50c	286$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	112	39.3%44 W · 68 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-31%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	58c	267.95$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.54	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over	55c	236.36$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.36	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c3d…e69fbacked Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49bb…a0dfbacked Over	54c	203.28$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	45c	200$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.2	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7817…8812backed Over	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	57c	194.94$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.82	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over	55c	190$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.5	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	44c	190$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.45	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec9…02f6backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78ba…0b74backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14a…e846backed Over	55c	180$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over	55c	178.76$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.44	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under	46c	177.87$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.82	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over	55c	177.64$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.94	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	35c	175.97$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.51	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under	35c	175.74$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.51	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7385…0199backed Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	75c	172.61$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.28	250	45.6%114 W · 136 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe284…4018backed Over	54c	160$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.6	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over	55c	121.59$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.93	157	59.2%93 W · 64 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x816e…8263backed Over	55c	108.31$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.74	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	43c	101.63$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41fd…1443backed Over	56c	98.32$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	67c	93$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.69	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under	46c	91.3$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4c…67e4backed Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-4.4wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	45c	72.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.63	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	45c	70$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.33	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.4wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0514…6131backed Over	55c	67.27$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.27	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+29%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over	58c	63.03$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.47	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…fe99backed Over	55c	61.82$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.82	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	61c	61$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	367	49.6%182 W · 185 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Over	55c	59.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	44c	58$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	170	43.5%74 W · 96 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over	57c	56.14$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.14	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over	53c	55$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event