NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c2b3e40a94aa59022cce3a56abb2b5ecc90d29c2c9fba50b24c660ce3d9c57e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 29c | 6,210$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.7 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 25c | 5,952$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…454bbacked Spurs | 9c | 4,672$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Spurs | 29c | 4,164$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.48 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Spurs | 34c | 3,144$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.06 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs | 33c | 2,797$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.82 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 77c | 2,499$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.65 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Thunder | 70c | 2,150$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.02 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Spurs | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Thunder | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 40c | 1,465$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.49 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…ea02backed Thunder | 63c | 1,437$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…bb26backed Thunder | 71c | 1,414$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 29c | 1,370$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.91 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Thunder | 62c | 1,275$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.48 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…86f3backed Spurs | 25c | 1,154$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,119$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.24 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 74c | 1,075$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Spurs | 22c | 1,041$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.09 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Thunder | 66c | 967.4$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs | 3c | 940$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 22c | 872.31$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs | 23c | 796.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 28c | 681.29$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Thunder | 70c | 677.22$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 24c | 630$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Thunder | 69c | 575.13$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 40c | 516.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs | 4c | 510$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…79c4backed Thunder | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 11c | 498.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 29c | 472.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Spurs | 23c | 393.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Thunder | 59c | 351.05$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Spurs | 24c | 313.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Thunder | 72c | 293.12$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Thunder | 76c | 283.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Spurs | 24c | 270.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Spurs | 42c | 252.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…2498backed Thunder | 80c | 251.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs | 22c | 250$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Thunder | 74c | 234.47$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Spurs | 23c | 212.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Spurs | 21c | 212$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Spurs | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 24.8%37 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Thunder | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…ab71backed Thunder | 72c | 180$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 76c | 171.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Spurs | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thunder | 78c | 161.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 41c | 151.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Spurs | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Spurs | 33c | 131.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…df96backed Thunder | 78c | 128.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Spurs | 29c | 119.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…a60bbacked Thunder | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Thunder | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…0ac8backed Spurs | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…cc19backed Thunder | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…e0edbacked Spurs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Thunder | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Spurs | 23c | 89.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Spurs | 23c | 85.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 33c | 84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 77c | 76.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Spurs | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Thunder | 61c | 72.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 76c | 67.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Thunder | 76c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…4e8ebacked Spurs | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs | 23c | 60.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs | 32c | 50.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Thunder | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 38c | 39.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Thunder | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Spurs | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Thunder | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Thunder | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…baa1backed Thunder | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Thunder | 78c | 20.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…b8e4backed Thunder | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…eeb6backed Thunder | 79c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.