TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs29c6,210$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.71,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs25c5,952$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa350…454bbacked Spurs9c4,672$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.261010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-85.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Spurs29c4,164$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.4812741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Spurs34c3,144$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.066636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs33c2,797$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.8245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder77c2,499$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.6564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Thunder70c2,150$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.0223652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Spurs9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Thunder60c1,600$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs40c1,465$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.4969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e9…ea02backed Thunder63c1,437$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.86933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed Thunder71c1,414$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs29c1,370$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.911,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Thunder62c1,275$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.485971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5cd9…86f3backed Spurs25c1,154$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder75c1,119$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder74c1,075$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.476,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Spurs22c1,041$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0920434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40095848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37068838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Thunder66c967.4$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.184652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs3c940$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.26437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs22c872.31$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs23c796.23$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1311333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2220352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs28c681.29$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5726233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Thunder70c677.22$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.283246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs24c630$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.218643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Thunder69c575.13$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.392347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs40c516.08$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs4c510$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc567…79c4backed Thunder80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs11c498.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.461,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs29c472.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Spurs23c393.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904035%14 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Thunder59c351.05$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…e495backed Spurs24c313.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.29944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Thunder72c293.12$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Thunder76c283.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.628348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3493…47bcbacked Spurs24c270.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.163622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Spurs42c252.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.999958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe042…2498backed Thunder80c251.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs22c250$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Thunder74c234.47$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5314959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Spurs23c212.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.959941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Spurs21c212$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.521,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Spurs24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014924.8%37 W · 112 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Thunder76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482568%17 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76fd…ab71backed Thunder72c180$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder76c171.46$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.331,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Spurs24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024731.2%77 W · 170 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Thunder78c161.15$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs41c151.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Spurs32c137.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf713…fdebbacked Spurs33c131.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.12060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a73…df96backed Thunder78c128.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs29c119.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9837652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6f…a60bbacked Thunder78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Thunder72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2834169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb84…0ac8backed Spurs21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…cc19backed Thunder78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Spurs20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Thunder75c95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.755671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Spurs23c89.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2359650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Spurs23c85.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.397062.9%44 W · 26 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs33c84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder77c76.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Spurs21c76.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Thunder61c72.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.23663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Thunder76c67.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.071,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Thunder76c64.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0618653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066b…4e8ebacked Spurs24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs23c60.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs40c53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs32c50.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Thunder80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs24c41.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs38c39.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.171,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Thunder80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.551946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Spurs34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9916659.6%99 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Thunder63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7534849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Thunder80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59355.9%52 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa1…baa1backed Thunder60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Thunder78c20.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.57565.3%49 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cc…b8e4backed Thunder79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…eeb6backed Thunder79c14.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.