NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb199b50c41036d63dbf69a754810f580daf37cfdcaa0ff16c9f7d9e8c2f6eb24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,453,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,055,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,453,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 53c | 1,166,008$620,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620,456.08 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs | 55c | 545,251$297,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297,387.95 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 52c | 460,653$241,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,987.5 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder | 45c | 444,446$200,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,445.3 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 54c | 432,003$233,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,494.14 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 72c | 404,969$290,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,804.89 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Thunder | 45c | 399,999$179,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219,999.34 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Thunder | 46c | 399,997$183,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215,998.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Spurs | 53c | 385,240$204,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,177.1 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 45c | 277,469$123,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,821.18 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 46c | 220,892$101,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,456.6 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs | 22c | 208,629$45,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,653.31 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 53c | 195,591$103,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,462.01 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Spurs | 55c | 185,334$101,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,933.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder | 54c | 177,199$96,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,179.2 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Thunder | 45c | 169,998$76,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,498.81 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Spurs | 37c | 162,935$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 61c | 139,806$84,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,645.92 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Thunder | 45c | 129,952$58,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,073.86 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs | 46c | 120,063$54,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,806.42 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Spurs | 55c | 120,000$65,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,599.95 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Spurs | 58c | 118,065$68,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,416.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 56c | 111,724$62,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,283.17 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Thunder | 46c | 108,696$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,695.65 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…96d7backed Thunder | 46c | 102,174$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,173.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Spurs | 42c | 99,353$42,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,062.02 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 44c | 98,505$43,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,444.29 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Spurs | 57c | 94,000$53,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,580 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Spurs | 57c | 90,869$51,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,715.3 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Spurs | 54c | 81,119$43,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,804.5 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Spurs | 56c | 80,000$44,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,799.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 46c | 78,841$36,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,514.65 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Spurs | 12c | 71,209$8,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,861.01 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Thunder | 30c | 70,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,999.89 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Thunder | 46c | 68,641$31,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,066.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs | 57c | 65,000$37,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,050 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Spurs | 50c | 64,000$32,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,129.97 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 58c | 61,036$35,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,519.17 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Thunder | 33c | 60,304$20,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,292.82 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 46c | 51,342$23,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,943.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Spurs | 13c | 51,312$6,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,513.94 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spurs | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Thunder | 75c | 49,328$37,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,166.71 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 57c | 48,131$27,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,434.74 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs | 54c | 48,000$26,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,049.89 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…68dbbacked Thunder | 47c | 46,331$21,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,377.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Spurs | 1c | 43,271$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.98 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Thunder | 32c | 39,475$12,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,969.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 31cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 44c | 39,434$17,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,266.96 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…03a3backed Spurs | 57c | 36,844$21,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,001.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Spurs | 0c | 36,417$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 45c | 36,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Spurs | 57c | 35,862$20,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,600 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Thunder | 68c | 34,246$23,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,858.34 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Spurs | 54c | 34,000$18,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,360 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Thunder | 69c | 33,394$22,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,466.77 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Thunder | 47c | 33,333$15,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,666.49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Thunder | 67c | 32,714$21,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,957.37 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Thunder | 42c | 31,617$13,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,350.15 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 39c | 31,419$12,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,260.08 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 58c | 30,500$17,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,690 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Spurs | 0c | 30,478$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Thunder | 44c | 30,412$13,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,030.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 33cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 53c | 30,104$15,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,872.63 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Thunder | 73c | 30,000$21,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,113.92 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Thunder | 75c | 29,850$22,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Thunder | 45c | 29,702$13,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,347.74 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Thunder | 46c | 29,565$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,964.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 47c | 28,736$13,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,239.51 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Thunder | 46c | 28,641$13,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,466.3 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Thunder | 79c | 28,381$22,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.06 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Spurs | 38c | 27,570$10,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,476.78 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Thunder | 37c | 26,041$9,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,405.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Spurs | 22c | 25,894$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Thunder | 77c | 24,412$18,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.45 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a70…3a16backed Spurs | 17c | 23,644$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 47c | 23,405$11,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,028.64 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…d5b9backed Spurs | 68c | 23,250$15,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,809.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Thunder | 45c | 21,944$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,069.11 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 53c | 21,751$11,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,288.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Spurs | 4c | 21,570$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.81 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Spurs | 34c | 21,314$7,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,303.36 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Thunder | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 47c | 21,241$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,257.75 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Spurs | 53c | 21,161$11,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,186.12 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 55c | 20,851$11,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,418.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Spurs | 54c | 20,586$11,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,116.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Thunder | 47c | 20,586$9,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,910.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Thunder | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Spurs | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 45c | 20,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,899.95 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs | 42c | 19,873$8,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,437.84 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Spurs | 36c | 19,085$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Spurs | 38c | 18,886$7,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,176.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…5d88backed Spurs | 68c | 18,854$12,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,820.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Spurs | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Spurs | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Thunder | 44c | 17,423$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,722.62 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…56ecbacked Thunder | 55c | 17,000$9,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,706.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Spurs | 66c | 16,917$11,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,164.49 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.