TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,453,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,055,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,453,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs53c1,166,008$620,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620,456.0864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs55c545,251$297,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297,387.959745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder52c460,653$241,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218,987.569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder45c444,446$200,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244,445.38148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs54c432,003$233,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233,494.1416841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Thunder72c404,969$290,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,804.8926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Thunder45c399,999$179,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,999.345154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Thunder46c399,997$183,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215,998.383240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Spurs53c385,240$204,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,177.126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder45c277,469$123,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,821.1856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Thunder46c220,892$101,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,456.61,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs22c208,629$45,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,653.3125925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Thunder53c195,591$103,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,462.0172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac2…be3dbacked Spurs55c185,334$101,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,933.811369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder54c177,199$96,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,179.229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Thunder45c169,998$76,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,498.813839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Spurs37c162,935$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,0006243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs61c139,806$84,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,645.9285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Thunder45c129,952$58,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,073.865350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs46c120,063$54,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,806.423844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Spurs55c120,000$65,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,599.9525753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Spurs58c118,065$68,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,416.9913642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder56c111,724$62,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,283.1718651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Thunder46c108,696$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,695.659945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…96d7backed Thunder46c102,174$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,173.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed Spurs42c99,353$42,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,062.026060%36 W · 24 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder44c98,505$43,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,444.2914538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Spurs57c94,000$53,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,5805648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spurs57c90,869$51,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,715.315140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Spurs54c81,119$43,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,804.519754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Spurs56c80,000$44,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,799.94148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder46c78,841$36,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,514.6531644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Spurs12c71,209$8,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,861.0119937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Thunder30c70,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,999.8948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Thunder46c68,641$31,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,066.321560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs57c65,000$37,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,05034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Spurs50c64,000$32,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,129.975940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thunder58c61,036$35,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,519.171,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Thunder33c60,304$20,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,292.824825%12 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder46c51,342$23,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,943.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Spurs13c51,312$6,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,513.945354.7%29 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Spurs57c50,000$28,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,50017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Thunder75c49,328$37,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,166.7148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs57c48,131$27,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,434.741,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs54c48,000$26,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,049.8911447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeff…68dbbacked Thunder47c46,331$21,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,377.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Spurs1c43,271$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.985213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Thunder32c39,475$12,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,969.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.38per pick31cpaid+105.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs44c39,434$17,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,266.961,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cb…03a3backed Spurs57c36,844$21,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,001.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Spurs0c36,417$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder45c36,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,80024942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Spurs57c35,862$20,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,60012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Thunder68c34,246$23,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,858.3419388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Spurs54c34,000$18,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,36037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Thunder69c33,394$22,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,466.778036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Thunder47c33,333$15,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,666.495848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Thunder67c32,714$21,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,957.3711946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Thunder42c31,617$13,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,350.1511738.5%45 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs39c31,419$12,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,260.081,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Spurs58c30,500$17,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,69010248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Spurs0c30,478$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0423655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked Thunder44c30,412$13,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,030.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick33cpaid+117.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs53c30,104$15,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,872.631,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Thunder73c30,000$21,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,113.923770.3%26 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Thunder75c29,850$22,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,384.562646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Thunder45c29,702$13,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,347.743857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Thunder46c29,565$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,964.98887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+63.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Thunder47c28,736$13,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,239.5161851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Thunder46c28,641$13,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,466.310158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Thunder79c28,381$22,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,950.063179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Spurs38c27,570$10,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,476.781915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Thunder37c26,041$9,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,405.591844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Spurs22c25,894$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Thunder77c24,412$18,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,683.4510146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a70…3a16backed Spurs17c23,644$3,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Spurs47c23,405$11,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,028.6449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…d5b9backed Spurs68c23,250$15,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,809.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Thunder45c21,944$9,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,069.115253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder53c21,751$11,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,288.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Spurs4c21,570$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.819349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Spurs34c21,314$7,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,303.3624937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Thunder47c21,277$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,276.63943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder47c21,241$9,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,257.7520454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Spurs53c21,161$11,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,186.127147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs55c20,851$11,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,418.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Spurs54c20,586$11,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,116.563354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Thunder47c20,586$9,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,910.73336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Thunder46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Spurs60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder45c20,000$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,899.958763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs42c19,873$8,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,437.8432846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Spurs36c19,085$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8001361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Spurs38c18,886$7,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,176.744252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc6…5d88backed Spurs68c18,854$12,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,820.82771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Spurs54c18,519$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8982…59fbbacked Spurs54c18,519$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Thunder44c17,423$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,722.623259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1760…56ecbacked Thunder55c17,000$9,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,706.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Spurs66c16,917$11,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,164.4936023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.