TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $875 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed No37c224.9$82 inLost-$82.4742842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No37c139.39$51 inLost-$50.9653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes64c89.5$57 inWon+$32.2284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf2…30a8backed Yes65c75.46$49 inWon+$26.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No35c73.59$26 inLost-$25.7979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c39…d10bbacked Yes64c62.5$40 inWon+$22.53658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfcf…fe99backed Yes61c50.6$31 inWon+$19.61040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7913…f3e2backed Yes62c40.32$25 inWon+$15.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes63c39.68$25 inWon+$14.685048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Yes63c34.92$22 inWon+$12.927970.9%56 W · 23 L+9.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No38c33.7$13 inLost-$12.6830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon+$11.759151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No42c30$13 inLost-$12.641050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No43c26.72$11 inLost-$11.4233356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a8…d497backed Yes61c26.23$16 inWon+$10.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe71…b183backed Yes65c23.23$15 inWon+$8.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Yes57c20$11 inWon+$8.653066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.