NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79aed9b9fc127ce5fa9cf23bcf62c0f1287ddbbbc088176c5d51b29be05e2d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 17,083$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400.05 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 47c | 5,923$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.02 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 58c | 3,297$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.24 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 2,316$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.77 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 41c | 1,780$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.72 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 59c | 1,439$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 1,346$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.22 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Under | 61c | 1,312$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…0b1abacked Under | 59c | 999.78$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +253.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 46c | 824.97$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.48 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 802.91$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 51c | 778.08$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.82 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 51c | 654.25$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.67 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 49c | 640.05$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.96 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 49c | 624.49$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 40c | 567$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 3c | 550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 477.34$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.73 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 442.25$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.63 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 58c | 418.16$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Over | 71c | 413.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 412.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…5693backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Under | 61c | 397.89$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Under | 60c | 370.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 40c | 370.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…154cbacked Over | 48c | 302.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 51c | 283.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 58c | 270.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 263.26$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe192…c237backed Under | 54c | 263$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Over | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 62c | 242.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 38c | 240.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 46c | 218.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 58c | 211.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 50c | 207$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 58c | 201.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 179.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 153.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Under | 60c | 135.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Under | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…411fbacked Under | 13c | 122.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 41c | 107.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…a3febacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 40c | 99.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 64c | 98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 59c | 93.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 87.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Under | 60c | 86.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 54c | 82.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 34c | 82.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 50c | 80.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 68c | 76.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 39c | 69.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 56.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 58c | 56.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 56c | 54.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 49c | 53.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Under | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…9559backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Under | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 65c | 48.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Under | 46c | 47.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Over | 40c | 46.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Over | 40c | 45.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Over | 40c | 43.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 58c | 40.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 39.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…bec3backed Over | 50c | 39.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c679backed Under | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 69c | 33.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 34c | 32.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Under | 52c | 30.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 29.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 52c | 27.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 50c | 27.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c20…352ebacked Over | 42c | 26.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 26.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.