NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0b82fe9c3e216a152dda2517b602bf38331d9cdbf54f8e7a01a1aca27db5aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 60c | 23,272$13,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,413.33 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 21,560$9,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,172.89 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 59c | 10,139$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.27 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed Over | 57c | 9,663$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.65 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 7,305$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.5 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 59c | 5,596$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.18 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 41c | 5,581$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 1c | 5,427$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 0c | 5,268$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Under | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.95 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 68c | 4,386$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.52 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Over | 59c | 3,223$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 42c | 3,052$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 2,954$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 2,681$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.29 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Under | 40c | 2,535$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 35c | 2,416$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.44 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 2,358$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.48 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Under | 42c | 2,310$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 41c | 2,200$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.78 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 2,081$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.62 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 41c | 1,959$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.09 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed Under | 41c | 1,938$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 1c | 1,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 30c | 1,798$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.44 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 60c | 1,555$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.34 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 68c | 1,434$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.73 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,414$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 46c | 1,257$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.53 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 43c | 1,149$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.35 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 24c | 1,110$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.32 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 31c | 1,036$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.08 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 43c | 1,026$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.18 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 77c | 1,005$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2640backed Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 41c | 992.51$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.93 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 42c | 971.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.24 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 828.91$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.16 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…4ffebacked Over | 79c | 765.2$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 61c | 732$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 729.9$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.47 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Over | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 69c | 668$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.88 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 37c | 575.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 43c | 555$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 43c | 535.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 42c | 479.11$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 62c | 472.33$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 59c | 417.39$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.13 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 40c | 407.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 41c | 376.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 42c | 359.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 48c | 332.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 26c | 327.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Over | 52c | 288.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 254$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f190backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed Over | 58c | 242.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…68dbbacked Over | 70c | 240.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…936ebacked Over | 59c | 233.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed Over | 60c | 206.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 204.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 41c | 193$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 30c | 182$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…d21bbacked Over | 58c | 180.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Under | 42c | 174.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…4af7backed Over | 58c | 174.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 34c | 172.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…ba67backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 34c | 172.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 58c | 168.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe284…4018backed Under | 43c | 159.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 42c | 157.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 151.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e2…a4c4backed Over | 69c | 148.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 44c | 139.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 44c | 139.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 137.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 41c | 133.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Under | 41c | 131$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 40c | 130.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 80c | 128$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 20c | 128$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…1ab3backed Over | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…3cd4backed Over | 54c | 112.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1131…6181backed Under | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.