TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed Over60c23,272$13,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,413.3362144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c21,560$9,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,172.8955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over59c10,139$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.2764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed Over57c9,663$5,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,152.652378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over55c7,305$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.524159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over59c5,596$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.185745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under41c5,581$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under1c5,427$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.36437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under0c5,268$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.042,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9512741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over68c4,386$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.5252461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Over59c3,223$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.912050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c3,052$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under42c2,954$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.312,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c2,681$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under40c2,535$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under35c2,416$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.4479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c2,358$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.481,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Under42c2,310$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c2,200$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.7862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under37c2,081$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.6242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under41c1,959$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.0929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed Under41c1,938$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Under1c1,800$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under30c1,798$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.441,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over60c1,555$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.3485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over68c1,434$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.731,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c1,414$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under46c1,257$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.5317250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under43c1,149$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.356445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under24c1,110$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.321,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under31c1,036$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0811946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under43c1,026$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over77c1,005$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.851,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2200…2640backed Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under41c992.51$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.935657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under42c971.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2429243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c828.91$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa462…4ffebacked Over79c765.2$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over61c732$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.5693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c729.9$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Over59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2876547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over69c668$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under37c575.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0320353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under43c555$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6524949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under43c535.08$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under42c479.11$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5914148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over62c472.33$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.146659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over59c417.39$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1313759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under40c407.46$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under41c376.4$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under42c359.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.23935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under48c332.93$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8117247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under26c327.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc348…9f08backed Over52c288.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.242356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2411239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under42c254$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d6…f190backed Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over58c242.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.854146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeff…68dbbacked Over70c240.76$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under42c239$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.381,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8561…936ebacked Over59c233.66$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd243…3398backed Over60c206.45$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.584040%16 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c204.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.822,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under41c193$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under30c182$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.822,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6947…d21bbacked Over58c180.24$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Under42c174.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.456348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041f…4af7backed Over58c174.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.41471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under34c172.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5820247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4132952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under34c172.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over58c168.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.816544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under43c162.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe284…4018backed Under43c159.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.791546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under42c157.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c151.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.451,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e2…a4c4backed Over69c148.41$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5210250%51 W · 51 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under44c139.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4921849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under44c139.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4921046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c137.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c133.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.021,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ec…d09cbacked Under41c131$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.711752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under40c130.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.024468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over80c128$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.69654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under20c128$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.627245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9610…1ab3backed Over62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cef…3cd4backed Over54c112.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1131…6181backed Under47c108.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.