TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c10,263$5,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,243.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293e…4717backed Under53c10,000$5,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,290.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under38c6,005$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.261,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under65c4,304$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.8128056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under53c3,501$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.661844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c3,239$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under65c2,565$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.346,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over48c2,298$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.3252461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.1656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c1,885$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.1255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over36c1,765$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over35c1,426$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.4224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over77c1,166$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.982,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over53c1,114$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.351,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under52c1,046$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.7518345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Over47c1,042$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.46636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Under43c988.36$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9912741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under48c868$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over35c842.57$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.3566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c753.85$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under12c709.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.34738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over42c706.79$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.945446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Under64c631.82$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32562948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a9…565cbacked Over56c602.88$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.271181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Under15c544$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.62429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c500$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over26c470.17$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c449.93$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over48c437.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.53265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Under32c437.32$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8410146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over41c429.16$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.344645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Over36c417.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.474932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Under46c400$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae65…5693backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Under56c399.81$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.892347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa590…d2bdbacked Over67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Over36c350$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+98%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c332.03$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Over55c327.44$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.445160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf311…a208backed Under66c320.27$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under15c308$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.21,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.714551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Over39c257.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.594146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…cb5dbacked Over55c238.87$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a8…e34ebacked Under64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Under16c229.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4813021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…270abacked Under20c209.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.942035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Under22c204.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Under13c194.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2535532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over35c188.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under56c179.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over47c158$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7445251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over35c149.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.481957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8634661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8611239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.864465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2716…f658backed Under61c140.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over34c139.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.211,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd130…5863backed Over36c122.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.581030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over34c117.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8640548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Over49c112.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under65c111.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c110.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224c…660cbacked Over36c106.28$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.022755.6%15 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+96%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf0f9…aa7abacked Over58c102.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.184100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under65c100.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78db…a291backed Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5315044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3030551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under25c99.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under57c97.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.581,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over63c88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under66c83.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1529…ba87backed Under36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under53c79.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4915961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under38c78.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0633556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa72d…e6fabacked Under66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under43c70.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e43…4a34backed Over40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423540%14 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa70b…4b96backed Over36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c46…97afbacked Over44c68.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.861346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under52c62.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0881…356abacked Over49c61.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.331957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x610c…271ebacked Over46c59.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over36c57.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.13737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over69c57.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8192750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.143452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb84…0ac8backed Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c54.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c52.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under52c52.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0422143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.556348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.