NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfcc3a8ba0d99586e53e0a287e902396bc11283908530f654a421381e687261b

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved: May 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $222,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $259,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,643 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder	48c	41,102$19,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,267.48	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Thunder	61c	33,000$20,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,869.96	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs	45c	31,590$14,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,236.97	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs	41c	12,325$5,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,093.3	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Spurs	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8005…16eabacked Spurs	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,799.86	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	62c	9,020$5,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,463.95	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs	39c	6,410$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	97	25.8%25 W · 72 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550.01	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Thunder	61c	4,734$2,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.43	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs	40c	4,410$1,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,772.66	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs	39c	3,705$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs	39c	3,574$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.86	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Spurs	26c	3,077$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.34	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thunder	47c	2,936$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,555.7	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Thunder	46c	2,804$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.35	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Spurs	33c	2,537$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.6	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Thunder	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder	63c	2,383$1,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.56	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Spurs	32c	2,344$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.53	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs	34c	2,335$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.05	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs	39c	2,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs	39c	2,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.99	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed Spurs	44c	1,818$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Spurs	12c	1,774$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.87	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs	34c	1,597$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.83	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs	42c	1,500$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.99	362	43.9%159 W · 203 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	26c	1,483$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.56	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder	69c	1,266$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.65	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs	40c	1,250$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.5	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	39c	1,131$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.27	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder	61c	1,100$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.23	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Thunder	80c	1,076$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.24	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Thunder	50c	1,006$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.5	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder	58c	1,003$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.71	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder	58c	1,002$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.33	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Thunder	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder	55c	969$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.16	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Spurs	37c	926$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	204	34.8%71 W · 133 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…86f3backed Spurs	26c	923.63$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Spurs	38c	921.05$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder	62c	812$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.2	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Spurs	26c	754.35$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.6	185	34.1%63 W · 122 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…a6aabacked Spurs	41c	732.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Thunder	61c	649.99$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6af…a0ebbacked Thunder	60c	642.18$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.87	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Thunder	62c	596.77$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.77	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Spurs	39c	524.97$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.89	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Thunder	61c	510.15$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.96	78	69.2%54 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Spurs	40c	505.18$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Thunder	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Spurs	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Spurs	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder	40c	499.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.99	117	57.3%67 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Thunder	60c	475.42$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.17	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs	52c	458.41$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.38	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder	61c	449.75$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.81	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Thunder	62c	442.12$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.05	157	59.2%93 W · 64 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Spurs	64c	425.29$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.23	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8874…ba49backed Thunder	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Spurs	52c	375.44$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.23	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fab…14a3backed Spurs	34c	353.98$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.35	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.39per pick	36cpaid	+116%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs	37c	336.59$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.55	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs	39c	329.95$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.68	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder	51c	329.1$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.26	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Thunder	62c	327.64$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.99	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Thunder	61c	318.31$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.09	186	53.2%99 W · 87 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Thunder	40c	306.64$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.98	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d59…6441backed Spurs	40c	283.2$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.28	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder	61c	280.57$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.3	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Spurs	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Spurs	39c	250$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	250	39.6%99 W · 151 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Thunder	61c	245.9$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.9	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder	61c	233.43$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.76	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4228…464dbacked Spurs	60c	226.64$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Thunder	60c	208.33$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.33	149	59.7%89 W · 60 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Spurs	37c	202.7$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Thunder	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+32%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Spurs	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Thunder	51c	194.63$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.63	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Spurs	42c	190.48$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs	17c	184.26$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.05	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1716…72aabacked Spurs	18c	176.91$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.69	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Thunder	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	489	48.5%237 W · 252 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Thunder	62c	160.97$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.57	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Spurs	38c	158.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	203	46.3%94 W · 109 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs	35c	155.66$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.25	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…07fdbacked Spurs	39c	153.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	334	43.7%146 W · 188 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ed…67c2backed Spurs	40c	150$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Thunder	67c	147.97$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.83	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+4.0wins	+0.13per pick	61cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs	39c	146.31$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.14	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Spurs	40c	140$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Spurs	38c	129.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.39	268	24.6%66 W · 202 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7da…8dc2backed Spurs	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Spurs	39c	125.64$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	112	58.9%66 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Spurs	42c	124.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.49	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b11…0e49backed Spurs	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+6.0wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event