NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17cdced6aa497f2af2f36cc5b8fa8194cc799f96cba31cbd686b20729dffded1

Rebuilt 41 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved: May 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,204 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Thunder	34c	8,000$2,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,280.74	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	70c	6,764$4,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,741.32	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Thunder	30c	5,078$1,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,554.83	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder	77c	4,454$3,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.74	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs	76c	2,972$2,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,258.35	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs	39c	2,950$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.39	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs	16c	2,686$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.86	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs	38c	2,617$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.12	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Spurs	71c	2,073$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.47	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	67c	2,048$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372.22	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs	61c	1,863$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.83	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder	24c	1,782$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.09	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs	27c	1,704$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.53	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thunder	39c	1,257$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.4	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Thunder	31c	1,233$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.68	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Thunder	28c	1,179$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.66	171	47.4%81 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spurs	47c	1,071$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs	76c	1,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder	30c	1,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs	68c	1,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Spurs	30c	999.99$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Thunder	27c	999.62$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.72	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs	76c	996.05$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder	62c	941.17$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.39	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs	73c	862.62$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.62	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder	30c	841.23$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x14d9…7bcfbacked Thunder	17c	834.61$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	29cpaid	+170.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder	31c	795.81$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.86	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Thunder	40c	765$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Thunder	46c	763.91$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.91	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Spurs	63c	618.29$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.34	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Thunder	31c	592.42$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.9	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Thunder	35c	585.71$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.71	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Spurs	41c	556.93$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs	70c	549.23$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.46	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs	14c	505$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.1	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Thunder	63c	500$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8874…ba49backed Spurs	61c	488.69$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Thunder	30c	439.99$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.99	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs	27c	431.53$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.42	272	45.6%124 W · 148 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Spurs	71c	404.03$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.44	211	64.5%136 W · 75 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Thunder	30c	400$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs	42c	390.01$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.81	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Spurs	64c	382.05$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.66	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Spurs	70c	376.33$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.43	157	59.2%93 W · 64 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b569backed Thunder	80c	375.6$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.6	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs	69c	371.11$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.44	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder	48c	360.77$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.17	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Thunder	42c	359.95$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.77	338	37.3%126 W · 212 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs	34c	355.33$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.14	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Spurs	64c	309.52$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.04	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	362	43.9%159 W · 203 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs	64c	296.94$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.14	360	51.7%186 W · 174 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Thunder	31c	296$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.29	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs	62c	274.19$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs	62c	274.19$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Spurs	31c	260.48$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.67	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-4.1wins	-0.38per pick	47cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder	42c	250.32$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.49	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs	19c	241.2$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.41	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs	67c	220.74$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.39	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x573e…e08abacked Thunder	29c	214.34$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.18	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Thunder	29c	203$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.13	186	53.2%99 W · 87 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Thunder	42c	200.45$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.26	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Thunder	28c	200$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Spurs	72c	200$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-16.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs	48c	200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.8	372	53.5%199 W · 173 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Thunder	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Thunder	60c	183.35$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.34	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder	47c	181.59$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.11	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs	67c	179.88$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.88	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Spurs	59c	174.98$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.24	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530a…4961backed Thunder	41c	174.98$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.24	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Spurs	75c	172.35$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.7	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs	34c	170$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.1	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Spurs	34c	169.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.1	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Spurs	53c	168.67$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	440	52.5%231 W · 209 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Spurs	60c	162.88$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.73	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2d…be6cbacked Thunder	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Spurs	69c	149.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.87	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Thunder	31c	146.59$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.59	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Spurs	69c	145.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	165	55.8%92 W · 73 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs	70c	137$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.9	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Spurs	50c	132$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Spurs	71c	126.76$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	59cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81b0…ad6dbacked Spurs	22c	126.23$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.77	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9645…6a60backed Thunder	29c	106.2$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.4	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f67…e91cbacked Spurs	58c	104.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs	36c	102.21$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.71	172	37.2%64 W · 108 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Spurs	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Spurs	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	854	49.4%422 W · 432 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Spurs	71c	98.59$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa687…e0e2backed Thunder	31c	96.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+67.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs	68c	90.34$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.77	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs	70c	83.39$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.47	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Spurs	59c	79.66$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-4.5wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Spurs	71c	75.63$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.69	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Thunder	78c	73.27$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.12	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df0…3775backed Spurs	71c	72.87$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.74	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs	60c	71.2$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.89	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a471backed Spurs	72c	69.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event