TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc249…8a61backed No36c2,192$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.8779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes61c1,626$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No41c1,598$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.41,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No42c1,369$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.955358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No37c1,051$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.9676054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7f3…d56cbacked Yes58c858.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No41c835.45$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.921,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes58c815.57$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.7342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Yes59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4725143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No40c590.59$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes58c579.31$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No35c496$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes61c444.9$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Yes67c432.55$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.812147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No38c421$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1843052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes63c396.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033749.3%166 W · 171 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No48c362$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0265762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked No42c357.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3314049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Yes58c349.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031050%5 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No40c339.58$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Yes63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes60c267.03$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9420558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6cf2…30a8backed Yes59c249.94$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd130…5863backed Yes65c246.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.991030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11812454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1233…d58fbacked Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+76.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes60c195$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8456348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked No40c188$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.812450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b2…cedbbacked Yes60c168.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+128.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked Yes65c154.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No41c149.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8944747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Yes67c142.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.438540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Yes59c142.62$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.610843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Yes59c135.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked No38c126.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.729941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No41c125.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7485449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70c…43eabacked Yes12c123.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf875…37d2backed No42c119.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.521145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No36c117.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3419352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes47c112.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No37c110$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.343752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No42c104$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3236153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6b…80bfbacked Yes58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585664.3%36 W · 20 L+9.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5840053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No40c99.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7840…51b5backed Yes58c92.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes63c79.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No38c75.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6829449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf9…7a19backed Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes67c59.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed No38c53.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.155058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked No37c52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6136…96cbbacked No33c42.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.74100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0a…5270backed Yes61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118a…457ebacked Yes58c39.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf81d…af54backed Yes62c38.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.091650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked No39c35.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No36c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.426755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes58c34.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0328455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7385…0199backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x485c…c6b3backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13db…2523backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…30a2backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Yes62c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.463135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66ad…ae38backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Yes65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024566.9%164 W · 81 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed No37c30.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…1bb4backed Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff4…8720backed Yes63c25.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Yes63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…f35dbacked Yes59c23.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bb1…da33backed Yes62c20.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a94…b335backed Yes57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.