NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3288a4704ac56b2f4904813058916ff63428cde6ae807e183a7f7638efd76b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 18c | 13,415$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.81 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…bd15backed Under | 25c | 7,394$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…fd47backed Over | 75c | 4,400$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 15c | 3,686$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.9 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Over | 76c | 3,306$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 78c | 3,216$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.68 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 20c | 3,204$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.99 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 80c | 3,139$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.88 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Over | 77c | 3,048$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…5b2cbacked Over | 75c | 2,999$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 77c | 2,979$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.55 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…a618backed Under | 3c | 2,729$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Over | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Over | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…54d0backed Over | 77c | 2,583$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Over | 78c | 2,560$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 25c | 2,533$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.27 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Under | 25c | 2,454$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 24c | 1,983$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.2 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 25c | 1,916$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.04 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 26c | 1,454$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.95 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 23c | 1,418$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.91 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 25c | 1,210$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 22c | 1,187$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.07 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 25c | 1,150$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.91 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 22c | 1,090$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Under | 4c | 1,087$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 25c | 1,023$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 79c | 984.15$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…72aabacked Under | 5c | 947.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…c382backed Under | 25c | 930.22$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 10c | 670.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 25c | 657.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 77c | 649.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…7aafbacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 23c | 550.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 4c | 441.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over | 76c | 430.26$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over | 77c | 422.89$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Under | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Over | 75c | 394.68$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 77c | 369.3$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Under | 11c | 360.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 287.41$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 77c | 287.05$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b006backed Under | 25c | 278$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c5…720fbacked Over | 77c | 259.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 24c | 244.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Over | 75c | 233.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2dcebacked Over | 77c | 204.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…559ebacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 24c | 188.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 24c | 182.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 23c | 145$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 77c | 138.31$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…c603backed Over | 78c | 125.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…43c7backed Over | 80c | 125.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 74c | 119.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…f367backed Over | 75c | 118.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…adc0backed Under | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Over | 78c | 102.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf2…30a8backed Over | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Under | 24c | 90.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Over | 77c | 89.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…9828backed Under | 26c | 84.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Over | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Under | 24c | 76.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 24c | 75.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…fbb1backed Under | 26c | 74.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 24c | 73.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 77c | 67.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…a7bdbacked Over | 77c | 65.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…f66cbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 24c | 55.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 74c | 54.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 77c | 53.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…9ddfbacked Over | 77c | 52.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2f…6884backed Over | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 23c | 46.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…8681backed Over | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…e7f5backed Over | 77c | 45.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…1419backed Over | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…c0d8backed Over | 78c | 44.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.