TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c80…9564

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
449
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT17920.7%37 W · 142 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$15.7
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+852.4%+$268.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$28.9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.12
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$164.72
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$102.42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$21.39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT12159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$76.82
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.8
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.8
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.2
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+34%+$21.14
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$28.82
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$23.25
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.65
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.51
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.3
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.63
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.68
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.97
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.21
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.99
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$26.4
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.2
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.25
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$46.88
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$41.85
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.4
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$27
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$41.4
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$51.5
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.18
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$57
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.99
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$73.8
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+733.9%+$346.53
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.22
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+64%+$21.77
Will Netanyahu's UN speech be more than 40 minutes long?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+229.7%+$45.94
Will Netanyahu's UN speech be be between 35-40 minutes long?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Netanyahu say "Slander" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.85
Madrid Open: Magdalena Frech vs Solana Sierrabacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfilsbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.33
Gwangju: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.36
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizubacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.13
Gwangju: Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.11
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.7
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.