TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under35c17,986$6,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,295.021,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over65c15,385$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.6211034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under15c6,035$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.261,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c3,369$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under28c2,600$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under16c2,426$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.741,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Under36c1,401$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under35c1,308$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.791,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over65c1,140$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over65c1,123$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.0813757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under7c962.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.081,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under6c907$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9718941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under21c814.49$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over65c712.72$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3810861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcff6…521ebacked Over65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over65c319.38$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.784146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb42…7e5cbacked Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under36c294.97$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.194245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under20c294.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Under15c255.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under15c236.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2718853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over65c215.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3816042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f16…b17cbacked Over68c189.8$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under36c183.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed Over61c156.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Over70c154.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Under16c148.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.173333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under29c140.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Under16c125.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.915839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over64c122.32$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.051,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72db…abc9backed Over65c118.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under15c112$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under15c110.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1537652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over77c104$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under36c88.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over66c83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Over69c80.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.254252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over78c77.87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1362144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7612159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f3…65e3backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under34c75.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under21c72.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.181,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under18c69.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4112150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under35c67.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6410548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc78f…c67bbacked Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c55.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Under36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4c…6047backed Over65c52.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over62c51.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.417237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over45c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over65c48.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.083951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over64c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under35c43.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Under48c40.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.751729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41bc…4e5fbacked Under35c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x485c…c6b3backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.774757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Over65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over46c29.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over64c28.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd741…63e0backed Over65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+147.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over73c23.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1614464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over69c22.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.052951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb02f…c25dbacked Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.