TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs13c24,428$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.5511333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Spurs53c11,553$6,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,081.46445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks49c11,327$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,746.8510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks64c10,614$6,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks47c8,567$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.661,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked Spurs48c7,197$3,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+79.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs50c7,127$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs53c4,289$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.6152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks68c4,150$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks60c2,560$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.3793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs18c2,184$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.612,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs43c1,818$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.0153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs43c1,701$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.6419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Spurs62c1,115$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.045240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Knicks51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Knicks52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs44c927.07$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.741,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks45c919.46$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.812,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs44c888$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7214538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs43c840.53$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs53c772.16$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs13c753.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Spurs13c742.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.516544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Knicks50c703.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.081833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Spurs55c686.75$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.714946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Knicks61c611.81$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.657638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks48c603.08$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0118941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2286163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Spurs50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks50c506.96$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.91,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs8c499.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9716429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f90…6e4fbacked Knicks54c470$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs58c415$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks59c392$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.721,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Knicks48c385.34$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.386141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks51c371.6$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.081,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8682…2fa5backed Knicks67c319.04$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.28366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs53c296$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed Knicks45c221.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs53c213.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.36038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks37c198$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.282,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs54c185.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9125150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks50c160.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.417360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks47c159.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Knicks27c155.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.437152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Knicks64c154.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4926545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Spurs71c151.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs74c136.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.941,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs18c134.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Knicks43c118.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8227138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs47c115.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs54c111.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks39c111$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4425944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs14c108.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15205%1 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick34cpaid-89.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks19c106.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks55c105$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks62c102.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Spurs14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.493920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs13c97.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.671,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee45…05cbbacked Knicks21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+153.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spurs39c91.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed Spurs45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Knicks50c80.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1618543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Spurs38c78.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7117946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs15c76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.417237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks17c75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.259956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Spurs54c72.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.537154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks63c70.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa099…8eb3backed Spurs40c62.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Spurs61c61.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.364560%27 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.954032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Knicks27c59.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.093745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9288…be38backed Spurs67c58.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs47c50.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.812055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs39c50.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4727245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Knicks56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae7…f4cdbacked Knicks35c48.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Knicks59c46.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Knicks78c44.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7214464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Spurs52c43.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0233030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs52c41.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.341,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca0…4b69backed Knicks47c37.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+131.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs52c37.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7721953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Knicks46c35.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks41c32.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Knicks44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.923548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Spurs50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Spurs56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Spurs46c28.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Knicks61c26.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.329157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs55c25.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Knicks50c25.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.041361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+64.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs47c25.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.132532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf0a0…e8fcbacked Knicks50c23.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.594100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.