TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,093 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No35c690.21$240 inLost-$240.2333049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No34c315.37$107 inLost-$107.3890863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Yes65c188.11$122 inWon+$65.845887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf56e…a853backed Yes65c188.11$122 inWon+$65.844393%40 W · 3 L+12.5wins+0.29per pick64cpaid+65.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes66c151.7$100 inWon+$51.713757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed Yes63c121.9$77 inWon+$45.272568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No35c116.68$40 inLost-$40.4953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No36c83.47$30 inLost-$30.054360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2764…3b6abacked Yes65c58.71$38 inWon+$20.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Yes64c58.15$37 inWon+$21.154963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes64c50$32 inWon+$186150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes65c46.15$30 inWon+$16.1510351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No35c44.74$16 inLost-$15.7430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Yes63c44.44$28 inWon+$16.4411347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes70c40$28 inWon+$11.91861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes66c38.02$25 inWon+$13.026524.6%16 W · 49 L-11.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No36c38$14 inLost-$13.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No44c38$17 inLost-$16.7214139%55 W · 86 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Yes66c37.88$25 inWon+$12.886656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes65c35$23 inWon+$12.24139%16 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7913…f3e2backed Yes62c32.51$20 inWon+$12.511050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51a2…051bbacked Yes65c30.7$20 inWon+$10.75642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No37c29.93$11 inLost-$11.0833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Yes65c29$19 inWon+$10.152166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes57c25$14 inWon+$10.7536954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3633…a72bbacked Yes63c23.63$15 inWon+$8.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbea2…eb63backed Yes63c17.51$11 inWon+$6.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.