TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-18.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks46c6,995$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.9255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spurs9c4,286$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.265435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs7c2,696$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8318445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs54c2,596$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.891,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Spurs23c2,530$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.26636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs59c2,214$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks56c2,067$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.1293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks43c1,886$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.791,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks53c1,777$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs8c1,454$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6319246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks74c1,200$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3186163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs19c1,153$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.666141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Spurs57c1,115$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.314173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs45c1,088$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs52c981.48$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.1452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks67c965.9$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3141,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs51c941.2$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks43c911.67$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs29c866.06$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Knicks55c730$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs33c690.7$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.931,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs32c576.21$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9718941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs43c574.49$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs53c497.28$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2725150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs6c488.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3311333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks59c451.6$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.641,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4415246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs52c350.13$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9918557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs44c345.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs52c307.47$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.76038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks63c258.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb221…a639backed Knicks43c226.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.474637%17 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs50c206.09$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bbb…70a8backed Spurs6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe402…4243backed Knicks44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.823100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+265.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks80c152.5$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks74c144.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.811258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs34c138$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs53c137$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6128056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Knicks45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3311450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Spurs33c116.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8828251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs54c108.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7425340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs48c106.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs47c106.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Spurs42c98.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.121950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Knicks61c81.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.832576%19 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Spurs56c79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2410941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Spurs50c78.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks55c72.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs50c70.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.993333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs51c66.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks67c60.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab1…dcecbacked Spurs56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs56c47.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6237652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks47c47.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.832654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs36c47.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0910152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs52c46.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs34c41.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2833030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks59c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.625944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Knicks46c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs57c35.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd479…1920backed Knicks59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93850%19 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Spurs52c32.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.835839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks46c30.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Knicks49c30.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Knicks41c29.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3936045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs41c29.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Knicks55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.259271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff53…19edbacked Knicks58c22.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b96…a6d5backed Spurs59c21.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs49c20.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0912055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Knicks79c19.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.089966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.