TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ab1…dcec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.34
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.65
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.76
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.94
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$114.39
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.39
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.21
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$68.63
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$73.24
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.5
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.47
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$28.65
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+272.7%+$50.47
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$42.39
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.