TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c27,486$11,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,702.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c18,629$10,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,318.7959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under38c13,589$5,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,157.068728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over62c12,990$8,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.84341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under1c11,272$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4521946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under1c8,095$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7315844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under11c7,754$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.0110942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed Over46c7,473$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.52812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over44c7,435$3,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,173.5731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c6,984$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.141,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Under3c6,738$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.926152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c6,469$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.143,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c3,950$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.851,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over71c3,381$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.7337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c3,320$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.34,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Under38c3,032$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.5830431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c2,985$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.112,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over62c2,905$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.6913544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over55c2,738$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.3116050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over62c2,730$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.2233843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over61c2,650$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.067943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c2,094$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.513,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235b…af09backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.821540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under26c1,863$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.4484738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under3c1,820$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.59180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under10c1,723$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8514544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Under12c1,602$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over54c1,531$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.4820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Over62c1,510$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.810142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c1,476$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5493,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over64c1,451$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9915650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under63c1,318$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.6138745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c1,304$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.8774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under42c1,279$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over51c1,259$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.771,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under5c1,238$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204524.4%11 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+183.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under45c1,113$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over75c1,103$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.3421747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under66c1,059$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under54c1,039$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.9937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over32c999.53$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.684238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0099…b070backed Under24c993.45$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over63c990.02$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.211,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Under54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over64c925.53$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.198355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Over51c892.25$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over63c871.8$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8425865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over73c821.91$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.336246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under38c799.81$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9314433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over49c794.53$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.212552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under33c750.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over49c728.96$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9620626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c721.85$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.953,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under42c667.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under37c646.06$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1610832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over67c601.29$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.055062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21614051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over64c599.98$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over61c582.82$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.320044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c580.12$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over77c553.5$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.234964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over59c552.13$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2517442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under5c551.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.232,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under51c527.27$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9148937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over65c490.85$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Over60c484.73$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3410762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under53c471.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over64c469.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5310657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over52c445.9$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0312559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over66c443.3$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over49c426.15$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.347237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2887…a552backed Under7c424.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.68616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…d972backed Over80c423.09$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.832161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over66c419.2$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over49c419.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7313351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Over61c415.25$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.957948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…8588backed Over56c401.22$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under50c399.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810834.3%37 W · 71 L-19.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over61c398.67$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9838439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over44c380$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.733120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under41c377.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5534330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over63c373.13$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.614744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.648955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over54c363.33$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3316547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under25c362.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.812,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.511065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over49c340.82$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8215143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under45c338.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5913548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under32c323.46$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.