Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67281ff9585fbb961931ac3bd5e0fc47ed5115985f6e652e616c53ea4d65bf8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 2c | 4,770$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 5c | 1,355$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 75c | 927.1$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 13c | 655.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 54c | 469.83$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.71 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Over | 46c | 405.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 54c | 356.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…0e4dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 136.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…e1bfbacked Under | 38c | 104.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 82.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 44c | 31.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Under | 52c | 21.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Costa Rica: Costa Rica O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.