TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Costa Rica: England 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over76c2,945$2,228 inLost-$2,228.1618435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under22c2,441$531 inWon+$1,910.4229154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9264…5453backed Over1c2,000$19 inLost-$19.352045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb70…f009backed Over1c1,989$20 inLost-$19.891643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over80c837.75$670 inLost-$670.0914564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under60c299.99$181 inWon+$119.261,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under19c236$45 inWon+$191.166253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under18c220.07$40 inWon+$180.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under19c183.36$35 inWon+$148.523525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x878d…adc4backed Under18c163.74$30 inWon+$133.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8af7…809dbacked Under18c111.11$20 inWon+$91.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+265.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Under18c55.69$10 inWon+$45.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+140.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under24c44.91$11 inWon+$34.3420553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over54c33.26$18 inLost-$17.9635619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under39c28.16$11 inWon+$17.122,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ff…55f2backed Over80c16.94$14 inLost-$13.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.