TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7ff…55f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.14
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.34
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.77
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Knicks (-21.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.77
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.9%+$13.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked D family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$12.57
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$10.09
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-2.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Lupus Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Costa Rica: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.