WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b0c20703bc0121a010bafce3ede5e439fe1165ec804203e24f148d7e91e3af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.96 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 53c | 9,428$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.15 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 4,958$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.82 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 4,107$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.33 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 48c | 4,058$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 47c | 3,284$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.71 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 3,261$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.49 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…9c3cbacked Under | 52c | 2,702$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 50c | 1,811$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.5 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 47c | 1,550$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 48c | 964$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.72 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 904.36$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 840$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 48c | 775$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 692.76$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.29 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Over | 48c | 587.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 77c | 399.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 48c | 384$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 366.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 48c | 266$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 20c | 221.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 14c | 204.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…2022backed Over | 48c | 199.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 161.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…7e93backed Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…aea4backed Over | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 126.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 109.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Over | 47c | 96.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Under | 53c | 79.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 48c | 67.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 46.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 48c | 42.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 51c | 39.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 39.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 36.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 32.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Under | 53c | 23.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 48c | 23.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Under | 69c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 173.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.