TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x101c…543d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT6258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$20.79
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.66
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$10.68
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$20.15
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+30%+$13.26
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.61
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$13.53
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yusuke Takahashibacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$22.29
Roland Garros WTA: Akasha Urhobo vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$5.47
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bengaluru 3: Alex Hernandez vs Naoya Hondabacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88%+$23.4
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$75.65
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milicbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.86
ITF Maringa: Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha vs Pavlos Tsitsipasbacked Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Tunis: Laurent Lokoli vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Zagreb: Stefan Dostanic vs Chris Rodeschbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+43%+$25.82
Oeiras 4: Colton Smith vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$25.37
Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$114.07
Bordeaux: Otto Virtanen vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Bengaluru 2: Yuta Kawahashi vs Kriish Tyagibacked Kriish Tyagi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Bordeaux: Rei Sakamoto vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Oeiras 4: Roman Safiullin vs Laslo Djerebacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Valesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$13.76
Zagreb: Thiago Monteiro vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$72.07
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.29
Zagreb: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Daniel Galanbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.67
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.24
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.53
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$12.94
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.71
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Stormbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+65%+$13
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$16.25
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$13.67
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$23.25
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$48.23
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.69
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.85
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$61.98
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$49.21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.92
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.21
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$36.66
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$93.14
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$37.7
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$23.27
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$5.1
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$75.9
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$32.66
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$56.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.1
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$35.66
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$62.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$13.37
Will Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.