TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under51c43,120$21,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,991.1120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over48c42,062$20,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,869.815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under52c25,555$13,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,288.614538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c19,792$9,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,404.3955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c18,633$9,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,493.2669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Under52c18,120$9,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,422.642138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under52c18,000$9,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,36016547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Over51c12,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8802437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Over48c10,550$5,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,460.54445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over49c6,776$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.9713037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c4,687$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.521,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over67c4,572$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.1411639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c4,016$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.0932846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over49c3,682$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.585657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over60c3,057$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.1793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e71…52d1backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over51c2,980$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.6865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over55c2,371$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.7952461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c2,252$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under25c2,172$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.921,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under30c2,045$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.321,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Over63c2,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Over49c1,986$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.16950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under50c1,804$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.1318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under47c1,504$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.877143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over49c1,478$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.5514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over70c1,427$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.4524159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0920247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under47c1,412$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under39c1,407$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.593852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under38c1,405$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2165762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c1,234$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.831,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under30c1,226$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under47c1,226$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.2110248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c1,187$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,169$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,167$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1116555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over49c1,082$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6313750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under19c1,013$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.151,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under37c1,008$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.966636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over52c952.66$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.3112741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over51c929.22$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.623275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.935453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over49c918.37$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.372744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under54c909.27$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6127052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under49c899.98$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.9944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under46c858.43$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.8825651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under40c717$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.722,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over53c713$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over51c649.75$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.694465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over50c626$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f2…27d4backed Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003080%24 W · 6 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over49c624.49$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c615.95$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c609.28$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over53c584$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.489845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c583.96$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over54c570.37$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3791050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Over51c525$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Under48c507.33$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.524434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2358155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Over72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over53c449.36$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1314148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Over47c448.93$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.933647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c448.25$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over53c429.17$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7138942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eaf…a69abacked Under49c384.89$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf535…975cbacked Over52c384.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.371369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3625360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97e2…a6b1backed Over52c375$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee8…64afbacked Under49c374.53$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over53c373.58$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.586659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…2d5ebacked Under48c359.61$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92ab…7376backed Under49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ae…e071backed Over52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over52c336.02$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over53c325$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7510750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce74…bd9abacked Over60c318.48$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.39887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+48.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over51c317.94$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.594540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over48c289$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2817744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over52c285.9$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.231,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.022334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under47c281.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5319745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under47c276$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7216946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf677…2efebacked Over54c267.72$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b25…93ccbacked Over48c260.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.