NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb07ed8548335811f564133dd34741e742b61b6336234046347be6001b3f366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 59c | 16,753$9,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,960.04 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 44c | 7,489$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.11 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 43c | 5,436$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.24 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.46 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 44c | 3,136$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.9 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 48c | 2,685$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.91 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 44c | 2,586$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.22 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 47c | 1,498$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.47 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,359$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.09 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 39c | 1,027$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.64 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Yes | 55c | 1,010$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.87 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 38c | 913$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.34 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Yes | 53c | 745.55$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Yes | 62c | 623.79$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 54c | 607.52$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed No | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 55c | 493$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.38 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Yes | 53c | 475.4$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 47c | 444.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83d…c57ebacked Yes | 53c | 405.06$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 61c | 374.33$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes | 58c | 339.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 48c | 313$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked No | 46c | 311$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 47c | 293.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 47c | 267.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 69c | 265.23$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 47c | 251.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 251.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…3616backed Yes | 47c | 250.51$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Yes | 56c | 238.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked No | 45c | 230.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8386backed No | 47c | 228.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…c576backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 47c | 214.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…04eebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76cf…599dbacked No | 46c | 187.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Yes | 54c | 184.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 55c | 182.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…c8b8backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Yes | 53c | 175.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 54c | 151.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 44c | 135.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…a029backed No | 48c | 134.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 56c | 126.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked No | 43c | 116.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked No | 44c | 113.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…cd99backed Yes | 52c | 112.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 38c | 108$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Yes | 43c | 106.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 46c | 103.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 46c | 99.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed No | 35c | 97.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…2341backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Yes | 53c | 94.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes | 56c | 93.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 27c | 91.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…dd3abacked Yes | 55c | 91.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…e2dcbacked Yes | 55c | 89.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 58c | 86.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked Yes | 52c | 82.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…79c7backed Yes | 56c | 81.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…4271backed Yes | 48c | 80.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…9cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 53c | 79.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Yes | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed No | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed No | 37c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed No | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 47c | 61.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed Yes | 56c | 58.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Yes | 41c | 56.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 38c | 53.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 52c | 49.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 135 | 39.3%53 W · 82 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…8c36backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Yes | 44c | 42.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…789dbacked No | 48c | 41.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…cd34backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…c6b3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…08e3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.