NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b33acfb934bfea7dafb6ad4fa7d82d2b338512bfe9bde3bc0dfe4a91bc7c5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 1c | 20,400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 5,041$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.05 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 66c | 3,031$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.4 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 35c | 3,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 2,391$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 1,811$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.33 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 56c | 1,772$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.76 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 64c | 1,585$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 35c | 1,542$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.57 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 51c | 1,503$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.56 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 41c | 1,438$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.74 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Under | 67c | 1,359$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.23 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 43c | 1,213$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.66 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 3c | 1,110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 44c | 901.52$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 842.76$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.42 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 59c | 795.92$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.33 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 46c | 780.26$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.76 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…cb5dbacked Over | 39c | 768$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 56c | 695$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.02 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Under | 43c | 596.15$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 532.35$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 517.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 509$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 64c | 505.54$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.55 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 36c | 494.77$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 33c | 466.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.2 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 61c | 407.55$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Over | 41c | 365.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 356$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 59c | 335.01$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 63c | 305.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1a…283ebacked Over | 47c | 278.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over | 70c | 265.65$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 45c | 224.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 59c | 216.39$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 201.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Under | 65c | 178.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 49c | 177.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 173$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 41c | 164.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 61c | 157.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 35c | 154$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 76c | 148$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under | 69c | 145.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 40c | 145.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 143.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 37c | 140$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 44c | 138.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 38c | 131$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 64c | 116.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Under | 35c | 113$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 66c | 109.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Under | 65c | 108.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Over | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 135 | 39.3%53 W · 82 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 48c | 104.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 100.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 48c | 100.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 35c | 77.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 70.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Under | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 187 | 35.8%67 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 43c | 66.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2ed7backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2327backed Under | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Under | 51c | 57.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 38c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 50c | 50.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…8b15backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 47.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 37c | 40.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +11.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over | 53c | 39.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 33.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…2706backed Over | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 16.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.