TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe558…dcd2backed Under1c20,400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.69349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c5,041$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.0593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under51c3,400$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.971844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under66c3,031$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.444337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over35c3,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c2,391$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c1,811$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.331,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over56c1,772$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.7652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under64c1,585$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over35c1,542$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.5725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under51c1,503$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.5668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under41c1,438$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Under67c1,359$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.231283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under43c1,213$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.6661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under3c1,110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.45829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over44c901.52$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.951,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c842.76$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over59c795.92$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over46c780.26$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.762,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…cb5dbacked Over39c768$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over56c695$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Under43c596.15$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.244037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Over36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c532.35$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.211,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c517.3$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.473,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c509$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under64c505.54$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c500$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.252,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over36c494.77$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.991,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over33c466.01$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over61c407.55$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Under51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over41c365.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.245446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c356$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over59c335.01$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6352053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over63c305.62$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.531,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1a…283ebacked Over47c278.65$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.711450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Over70c265.65$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.847562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108755.2%48 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under45c224.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under59c216.39$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over45c201.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Under65c178.46$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9cc…59abbacked Over49c177.75$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.654057.5%23 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+31.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under40c173$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.152,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under41c164.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under61c157.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1518345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under35c154$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over76c148$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.61,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under69c145.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under40c145.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c143.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over37c140$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.94151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Over44c138.82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7420247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over38c131$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.229941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under45c119.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over64c116.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under35c113$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2817237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under66c109.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f7…f325backed Under65c108.6$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Over33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0613539.3%53 W · 82 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under48c104.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over52c104$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9327245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c100.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under48c100.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.188843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over35c77.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.121,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Under66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under38c71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9824936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under38c71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c70.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a8…9c50backed Under64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.818735.8%67 W · 120 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under43c66.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9733556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d18…2ed7backed Under65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48f…2327backed Under38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.85750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Under51c57.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298646.5%40 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under38c57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.667133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under50c50.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0610746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8038…8b15backed Under62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c47.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.231,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over37c40.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0127539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.137572%54 W · 21 L+11.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under52c39.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over53c39.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.452070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under62c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3217651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under69c33.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e80…2706backed Over64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c16.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.