NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49915e05cdd9875d0fbbaad0a28e987c0a180bfcff78902c5ee4c8a518ef377f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 0c | 29,995$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 66c | 4,204$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.21 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 3,366$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.21 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 3,238$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 67c | 2,508$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.25 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 35c | 2,264$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.51 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 33c | 2,140$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 67c | 2,008$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.06 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 1,973$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.06 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…d061backed Under | 36c | 1,902$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 29c | 1,691$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.71 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 61c | 1,535$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 75c | 1,448$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.05 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 67c | 1,341$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.48 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 68c | 1,114$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.93 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 43c | 955.74$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.97 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 934.08$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 9c | 820.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 67c | 723.84$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 23c | 717.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 65c | 687.89$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Over | 59c | 600$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 44c | 580.5$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 34c | 579$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Under | 21c | 568.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 36c | 560.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 35c | 505.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 66c | 504.55$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 32c | 498.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 18c | 497.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 64c | 353.44$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 66c | 339$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 313$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 33c | 300.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Under | 36c | 266$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 20c | 265.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 34c | 242$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 38c | 234.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 67c | 226$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 20c | 218.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 36c | 193.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 185.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 68c | 164.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 37c | 161$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…29b9backed Over | 65c | 153.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 71c | 144.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…8452backed Over | 65c | 139.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Over | 68c | 136.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 35c | 125.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…97afbacked Under | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 33c | 109.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 34c | 108.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 43c | 106.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 43c | 106.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 19c | 105.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 34c | 94.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 23c | 94.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Over | 63c | 90.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 25c | 77.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…c234backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Under | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…ff1dbacked Over | 64c | 68.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…3bbabacked Over | 67c | 65.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Over | 67c | 58.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…97b7backed Over | 61c | 57.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 33c | 56.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 65c | 53.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 39c | 40.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…c0edbacked Under | 37c | 37.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 57c | 37.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +11.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 33c | 36.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Over | 64c | 35.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…c044backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…ddc7backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2075…e419backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 65c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…d582backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked Over | 65c | 23.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Over | 66c | 22.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.